Sparta Praha vs Lyon Prediction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
AI call Lyon or draw
31%
28%
42%
Home Win · 3.55 Draw · 3.70 Away Win · 2.19

Sparta Praha vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Sparta Praha a 31% chance of winning, Lyon 42% and the draw 28%. Last updated 4 Aug 2026, 19:53.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 71% @ 1.43
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Jonatan Braut Brunes Goal Disallowed - offside
20' 🖵
0–1 45'
Martin Suchomel Own Goal
HT 0–1
Matěj Ryneš assist: Andy Irving
63' 1–1
Adam Karabec Yellow Card
66'
67'
Corentin Tolisso Missed Penalty
John Mercado assist: Matěj Ryneš
69' 2–1
Andy Irving ⇄ Santiago Eneme
75'
76'
Mohamed Ouédraogo ⇄ Ernest Nuamah
76'
Mathys de Carvalho ⇄ Malick Fofana
Josimar Alcócer ⇄ Lukáš Haraslín
84'
Adam Karabec ⇄ Hugo Sochurek
85'
Jonatan Braut Brunes ⇄ Ebrima Singhateh
85'
John Mercado ⇄ Garang Kuol
90+2'
Matěj Ryneš Yellow Card
90+4'
FT 2–1
Sparta Praha

Match Stats

Lyon
52% Ball Possession 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Corner Kicks 9
3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
442 Total passes 403
383 Passes accurate 330
87% Passes % 82%
goals_prevented
Sparta Praha
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Asger Sørensen D 7.9 93' 1 95 (90%) 2
11 Matěj Ryneš D 7.9 93' 1 1 1 72 (64%)
28 Roman Macek M 7.2 93' 54 (50%) 2
17 John Mercado M 7.0 92' 1 3 11 (7%)
14 Jonatan Braut Brunes F 7.0 85' 7 (6%)
7 Josimar Alcócer M 6.6 84' 1 27 (25%)
5 Santiago Eneme M 6.6 18' 5 (4%)
38 Hugo Sochurek M 6.5 8' 1 (1%)
19 Adam Ševinský D 6.5 93' 1 63 (59%) 1
22 Lukáš Haraslín M 6.5 9'
27 Ebrima Singhateh M 6.5 8'
18 Andy Irving M 6.3 75' 1 1 41 (32%)
44 Jakub Surovčík G 6.2 93' 23 (14%)
10 Adam Karabec M 6.0 85' 15 (10%)
2 Martin Suchomel D 5.9 93' 27 (21%) 4
36 Garang Kuol M 1' 1
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Abner Vinícius F 7.3 93' 31 (26%) 3
7 Ernest Nuamah F 6.9 18' 1 2 (2%)
17 Loïs Openda F 6.9 93' 1 5 (3%) 1
6 Tanner Tessmann D 6.7 93' 49 (42%) 2
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles M 6.6 93' 35 (30%) 1
23 Tyler Morton M 6.6 93' 50 (46%)
39 Mathys de Carvalho M 6.5 75' 29 (26%) 1
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo M 6.5 75' 2 19 (12%) 1
11 Malick Fofana F 6.3 18' 1 7 (7%) 1
1 Dominik Greif G 6.2 93' 43 (30%)
8 Corentin Tolisso F 6.2 93' 2 29 (24%) 4
22 Clinton Mata D 6.0 93' 54 (43%) 2
21 Ruben Kluivert D 5.9 93' 50 (39%) 1
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean
Lyon or draw
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Sparta Praha
WWLLL
Lyon
LLWWL
Last 2 meetings Sparta Praha · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the UEFA Champions League matchup, Sparta Praha faces Lyon on August 4, 2026. Sparta Praha will rely on their strong defensive record, having conceded an average of only 0.8 goals per match in their last five fixtures. Lyon, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a high goal-scoring rate, averaging 2.2 goals per match in the same span. The outcome may hinge on whether Sparta can neutralize Lyon's offensive threats while capitalizing on any defensive lapses. Both teams must be wary of the tactical adjustments that could define their approach in this high-stakes encounter.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Sparta Praha leads 2-1. Win probability: 83.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.8%.

70' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Sparta Praha win: 79.7%. BTTS: 100%.

64' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 54.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Lyon win: 72.4%. BTTS: 48.3%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Lyon leads. Win probability: 72.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Sparta Praha
M. Ryneš 1 gls
Lyon

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Sparta Praha vs Lyon

0 Sparta Praha Wins
0 Draws
2 Lyon Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Nov 2021 Lyon 3 - 0 Sparta Praha
21 Oct 2021 Sparta Praha 3 - 4 Lyon

Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Aug H Lyon W 2 - 1
31 Jul H Zlin W 3 - 1
25 Jul A Zbrojovka Brno L 3 - 1
17 Jul A FC Nordsjaelland L 5 - 1
16 Jul A Jagiellonia L 1 - 0

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Aug A Sparta Praha L 2 - 1
29 Jul A Real Betis L 4 - 0
15 Jul H Servette FC W 2 - 1
11 Jul H FC ST. Gallen W 6 - 3
17 May H Lens L 0 - 4

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lyon

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Paulo Fonseca
1 Greif
21 Kluivert
6 Tessmann
22 Mata
76 Ouédraogo
39 Carvalho
23 Morton
98 Maitland-Niles
8 Tolisso
17 Openda
16 Vinícius

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Dominik Greif G
22 Clinton Mata D
6 Tanner Tessmann D
21 Ruben Kluivert D
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles M
23 Tyler Morton M
39 Mathys de Carvalho M
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo M
16 Abner Vinícius F
17 Loïs Openda F
8 Corentin Tolisso F

Substitutes

30 Yvann Konan G
40 Rémy Descamps G
37 Steeve Kango D
85 Noham Kamara D
5 Orel Mangala M
11 Malick Fofana F
99 Noah Nartey M
7 Ernest Nuamah F
24 Julien Duranville F
26 Kaïl Boudache F
45 Rémi Himbert F

Sparta Praha

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Priske
44 Surovčík
11 Ryneš
25 Sørensen
19 Ševinský
2 Suchomel
18 Irving
28 Macek
7 Alcócer
10 Karabec
17 Mercado
14 Brunes

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 Jakub Surovčík G
2 Martin Suchomel D
19 Adam Ševinský D
25 Asger Sørensen D
11 Matěj Ryneš D
28 Roman Macek M
18 Andy Irving M
17 John Mercado M
10 Adam Karabec M
7 Josimar Alcócer M
14 Jonatan Braut Brunes F

Substitutes

47 Krisztián Hegyi G
15 Viktor Vitályos D
30 Jaroslav Zelený D
3 Pavel Kadeřábek D
5 Santiago Eneme M
21 Joao Grimaldo F
38 Hugo Sochurek M
22 Lukáš Haraslín M
24 Dominik Hollý M
27 Ebrima Singhateh M
29 Matyáš Vojta F
36 Garang Kuol M

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