CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Dunav Ruse

Away

AI call CSKA Sofia to win or draw

77%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse prediction: Sportiko gives CSKA Sofia a 77% chance of winning, Dunav Ruse 6% and the draw 16%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 20:09.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
Home 2H Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

17' ⚽ 1–1

Yellow Card

31' ▮

HT 1–1

⇄ Jean-Philippe Gbamin

46' ⇄

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

65' ⇄

⇄ 75'

79' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 80'

⇄ 85'

Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 2–1

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Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

Our lean

CSKA Sofia to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.9%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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CSKA Sofia

DWWWD

Dunav Ruse

DLLDL

Match summary

CSKA Sofia will face Dunav Ruse in a key First League clash. CSKA Sofia enters the match with a strong home record, having secured a majority of their points at home this season, while Dunav Ruse has struggled in away fixtures. Analytically, CSKA Sofia has demonstrated superior possession and shot conversion rates compared to Dunav Ruse, making them the favorites in this matchup. The outcome will largely hinge on CSKA's ability to capitalize on their attacking opportunities against a Dunav defense that has shown vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dunav Ruse goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	15	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	10	3
5	5	2

↑ CSKA Sofia goals · most likely 2–0 (19.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

62% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Home Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	15.5%	5.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.9%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.4%	4.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.1%	3.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CSKA Sofia	Draw	Dunav Ruse
CSKA Sofia	60.5%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	23.3%	9.7%	1.3%
Dunav Ruse	1.3%	1.2%	1.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

57%

2.5

43%

80%

3.5

20%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

88%

0.5

12%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Arda Kardzhali	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1

Dunav Ruse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botev Vratsa	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A CSKA 1948	L	2 - 1
07 Sep	H Slavia Sofia	L	0 - 1
31 Aug	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	A Cherno More Varna	L	3 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Dunav Ruse

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Emanuel Lukanov

33 Kanev

88 Todorov

4 Cabarcas

5 Antoniou

39 Alves

44 Vidaković

11 Minchev

10 Boychev

14 Apostolov

2 Dilchovski

9 Valino

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Teodor Kanev	G
39	Andre Alves	D
5	Kyriakos Antoniou	M
4	Jose Cabarcas	D
88	Dimitar Todorov	D
44	Vladan Vidaković	M
2	Mario Ivanov Dilchovski	D
14	Radoslav Apostolov	M
10	Kristiyan Boychev	M
11	Denislav Minchev	F
9	Alexander Valino	F

Substitutes

69	Plamen Pepelyashev	G
6	Stanislav Yovkov	D
22	Stojan Predev	D
51	Ilker Budinov	D
24	Stefan Gavrilov	M
19	Stefan Stefanov	M
77	Aleksandar Simeonov	F
18	Ibrahim Keita	F

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Hristo Yanev

21 Lapoukhov

19 Yordanov

14 Ivanov

32 Rodríguez

6 Jordão

38 Pereira

30 Panayotov

99 Eto'o

11 Brahimi

10 Zwarts

77 Piedrahita

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	Fedor Lapoukhov	G
32	Facundo Rodríguez	D
14	Teodor Ivanov	D
19	Andrey Yordanov	D
6	Bruno Jordão	M
11	Mohamed Amine Brahimi	M
99	James Eto'o	M
30	Petko Panayotov	M
38	Léo Pereira	M
77	Alejandro Piedrahita	M
10	Joël Zwarts	F

Substitutes

5	Jean-Philippe Gbamin	D
8	Stefano Sensi	M
28	Ioannis Pittas	F
25	Dimitar Evtimov	G
2	Pastor	D
17	Ángelo Martino	D
15	Aleks Tunchev	D
7	Max Ebong	M
94	Isaac Solet	M
34	Vasil Kaymakanov	M
9	Leandro Godoy	F