Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Botev Vratsa

Away

Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad

AI call Ludogorets to win

76%

17%

Home Win · 1.37 Draw · 4.80 Away Win · 9.50

Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa prediction: Sportiko gives Ludogorets a 76% chance of winning, Botev Vratsa 7% and the draw 17%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 17:56.

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Home to Score 2+ 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Bernard Tekpetey

22' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 40'

Rwan Cruz

45+1' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ Idan Nachmias

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Bernard Tekpetey

58' ⇄

Petar Stanić ⇄ Filip Kaloč

58' ⇄

▮ 65'

Yellow Card

⚽ 2–1 72'

⇄ 72'

Ivajlo Chochev Yellow Card

75' ▮

⇄ Deroy Duarte

78' ⇄

79' ⇄

Yellow Card

81' ▮

Red Card

84' ▮

⇄ 84'

FT 2–1

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Confidence High (76%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ludogorets to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.2%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Ludogorets

WDWLW

Botev Vratsa

LLDWW

Match summary

Ludogorets enters this match against Botev Vratsa with a strong track record in the First League, showcasing a consistent performance at home. They have demonstrated a potent attacking force, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded only 0.8 goals per game. Botev Vratsa, on the other hand, struggles with away form, having secured only 1 point from their last 5 matches on the road. This matchup could heavily favor Ludogorets if they maintain their scoring momentum and solid defensive structure. Expect a tactical battle with Ludogorets likely dominating possession and creating more goal-scoring opportunities.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Ludogorets leads 2-1. Win probability: 97%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 3%.

73' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Ludogorets win: 96.9%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Ludogorets now leads 2-0 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 77%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Ludogorets leads. Win probability: 99.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77%.

23' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Ludogorets win: 97.3%. BTTS: 20%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Botev Vratsa goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	14	5	1
2	19	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	12	4	1
5	6	2

↑ Ludogorets goals · most likely 2–0 (19.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

66% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

86% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	13.7%	4.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.2%	5.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.3%	5.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	11.7%	3.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

34%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

80%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

31%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ludogorets	Draw	Botev Vratsa
Ludogorets	65.0%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	21.4%	8.0%	1.1%
Botev Vratsa	1.2%	1.0%	1.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

76%

3.5

24%

Home Exact Goals

19%

26%

23%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

88%

0.5

12%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ludogorets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Botev Vratsa	W	2 - 1
30 Jul	H Hapoel Tel Aviv	D	2 - 2
27 Jul	A Dunav Ruse	W	0 - 2
23 Jul	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	L	2 - 0
18 Jul	H Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	1 - 0

Botev Vratsa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Ludogorets	L	2 - 1
25 Jul	A CSKA 1948	L	2 - 1
19 Jul	H Cherno More Varna	D	1 - 1
10 Jul	H Arda Kardzhali	W	1 - 0
01 Jul	H Spartak Pleven	W	2 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Spartak Varna	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
4	CSKA 1948	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
6	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2
11	Botev Vratsa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
14	Dunav Ruse	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0

Ludogorets

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thomas Reis

39 Bonmann

42 Shishkov

24 Verdon

15 Kurtulus

2 Andersson

18 Chochev

20 Camara

37 Tekpetey

14 Stanić

7 Salido

12 Cruz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	Hendrik Bonmann	G
2	Joel Andersson	D
15	Edvin Kurtulus	D
24	Olivier Verdon	D
42	Simeon Shishkov	D
20	Aguibou Camara	M
18	Ivajlo Chochev	M
7	Alberto Salido	F
14	Petar Stanić	M
37	Bernard Tekpetey	M
12	Rwan Cruz	F

Substitutes

55	Idan Nachmias	D
26	Filip Kaloč	M
25	Emerson Rodríguez	M
1	Sergio Padt	G
3	Anton Nedyalkov	D
22	Mihail Polendakov	D
17	Son	D
27	Vinicius Nogueira	D
23	Deroy Duarte	M
9	Kwadwo Duah	F
16	Nathan Fernandes	F

Botev Vratsa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Todor Simov

94 Orlinov

3 Sanyang

88 Boyanov

36 Stoev

4 Goranov

8 Stoyanov

12 Yurukov

81 Hadji

79 Petkov

97 Naydenov

9 Genov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
94	Marin Orlinov	G
4	Ivan Goranov	D
36	Milen Stoev	D
88	Lazar Boyanov	D
3	Sainey Sanyang	D
12	Iliya Yurukov	M
8	Antoan Stoyanov	M
97	Vladislav Naydenov	M
79	Martin Petkov	F
81	Kassim Hadji	M
9	Daniel Genov	M

Substitutes

6	Abdula Kichukov	M
24	Martin Smolenski	M
99	Preslav Borukov	F
23	Lyuboslav Stoyanov	G
98	Lyubomir Vasilev	G
11	Martin Achkov	D
10	José Gallegos	M
17	Samuil Mechev	M
2	Miroslav Tsonev	M