AC Oulu vs Ilves Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Ilves

Away

Raatin stadion, Oulu

AI call AC Oulu or draw

41%

28%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AC Oulu vs Ilves prediction: Sportiko gives AC Oulu a 41% chance of winning, Ilves 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 15:53.

Premium picks

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Home to Score 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

▮ 43'

S. Väisänen Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

J. Kilo ⇄ J. Kanga

assist: R. Karjalainen

55' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 63'

S. Väisänen

⇄ 63'

M. Rale

⇄ 69'

S. Baranov

⇄ N. Jokelainen

74' ⇄

⇄ 80'

A. Popovitch

R. Karjalainen ⇄ M. Ojala

85' ⇄

J. Paananen

85' ⇄

J. Lietsa Yellow Card

86' ▮

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

AC Oulu or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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AC Oulu

WDWWL

Ilves

WDWWW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, AC Oulu will face Ilves. AC Oulu has shown a solid home record, leveraging their offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Ilves has struggled on the road, with a defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 1.8 goals per away game. This matchup presents a potential advantage for Oulu, particularly if they can exploit Ilves' defensive vulnerabilities. Key players to watch will be Oulu's leading scorer and Ilves' goalkeeper, who will be crucial in determining the match outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

AC Oulu

R. Karjalainen 4 gls

Ilves

T. Hytönen 9 gls

E. Tamminen 4 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

M. Stjopin 3 gls

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs Ilves

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Nov	H KuPS	W	2 - 0
28 Oct	H VPS	D	0 - 0
24 Oct	A Gnistan	W	3 - 4
17 Oct	A Inter Turku	W	1 - 2
12 Oct	H HJK Helsinki	L	3 - 4

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Oct	H SJK	W	2 - 0
10 Oct	A Mariehamn	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HJK Helsinki	31	17	7	7	63	36	+27	58
2	Inter Turku	31	16	10	5	41	27	+14	58
3	KuPS	31	14	11	6	46	31	+15	53
4	AC Oulu	31	14	5	12	38	37	+1	47
5	Gnistan	31	11	10	10	47	46	+1	43
6	VPS	31	11	7	13	31	38	-7	40

Relegration Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	27	11	6	10	35	26	+9	39
2	Ilves	27	11	5	11	45	39	+6	38
3	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	29	33	-4	32
4	SJK	27	6	9	12	29	37	-8	27
5	FF Jaro	27	4	9	14	22	49	-27	21
6	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	22	49	-27	19

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

5 Väisänen

16 Miettunen

13 Wallius

14 Popovitch

22 Multala

24 Kumpu

28 Kilo

17 Baranov

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
24	Ville Kumpu	D
22	Oskari Multala	M
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
28	Jesse Kilo	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

30	Jardell Kanga	M
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
19	Abdoul Goudouss Bamba	D
25	Sebastian Suvanne	D
1	Otso Virtanen	G
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
33	Yacouba Sacko	M
10	Roope Riski	F
45	Elias Tamminen	F

AC Oulu

Formation: 3-2-4-1 Coach: Mikko Isokangas

13 Santos

18 Cassama

66 Pirinen

3 Lietsa

6 Paananen

25 Arsalo

22 Kaukua

27 Kallio

7 Karjalainen

11 Ghezali

32 Koné

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
3	Alex Lietsa	D
66	Juha Pirinen	D
18	Adramane Cassama	M
25	Markus Arsalo	M
6	Julius Paananen	M
11	Lamine Ghezali	M
7	Rasmus Karjalainen	M
27	Elias Kallio	M
22	Tuomas Kaukua	M
32	Abdoulaye Koné	F

Substitutes

14	Niklas Jokelainen	M
99	Niklas Schulz	G
2	Sami Sipola	D
5	Mikko Pitkänen	D
16	Otto Kemppainen	D
29	Santeri Silander	D
8	Matias Ojala	M
20	Kalifa Jatta	M