AC Oulu vs Ilves Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Ilves

Away

Raatin stadion, Oulu

AI call AC Oulu or draw

41%

28%

31%

Home Win · 2.33 Draw · 3.65 Away Win · 3.05

AC Oulu vs Ilves prediction: Sportiko gives AC Oulu a 41% chance of winning, Ilves 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 15:53.

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Home to Score 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 75% @ 1.47
1st Half Home or Draw 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

▮ 43'

S. Väisänen Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

J. Kilo ⇄ J. Kanga

assist: R. Karjalainen

55' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 63'

S. Väisänen

⇄ 63'

M. Rale

⇄ 69'

S. Baranov

⇄ N. Jokelainen

74' ⇄

⇄ 80'

A. Popovitch

R. Karjalainen ⇄ M. Ojala

85' ⇄

J. Paananen

85' ⇄

J. Lietsa Yellow Card

86' ▮

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

AC Oulu or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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AC Oulu

WDLLD

Ilves

LLWWL

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, AC Oulu will face Ilves. AC Oulu has shown a solid home record, leveraging their offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Ilves has struggled on the road, with a defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 1.8 goals per away game. This matchup presents a potential advantage for Oulu, particularly if they can exploit Ilves' defensive vulnerabilities. Key players to watch will be Oulu's leading scorer and Ilves' goalkeeper, who will be crucial in determining the match outcome.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: AC Oulu leads 1-0. Win probability: 86.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.6%.

55' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. AC Oulu win: 78%. BTTS: 35.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 70.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 37.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ AC Oulu goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

AC Oulu

J. Körkkö 2 gls

Ilves

T. Hytönen 4 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

AI match tools

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	7.4%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.5%	14.3%	7.2%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.8%	8.9%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.1%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Oulu	Draw	Ilves
AC Oulu	24.8%	3.8%	1.2%
Draw	15.2%	18.8%	9.6%
Ilves	2.3%	5.1%	19.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs Ilves

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Ilves	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	A Mariehamn	D	1 - 1
18 Jul	H Gnistan	L	0 - 2
11 Jul	A Turku PS	L	3 - 0
27 Jun	H Lahti	D	1 - 1

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A HNK Rijeka	L	1 - 0
02 Aug	A AC Oulu	L	1 - 0
30 Jul	H Stjarnan	W	1 - 0
26 Jul	H Lahti	W	1 - 0
23 Jul	A Stjarnan	L	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	18	11	6	1	33	16	+17	39
2	Inter Turku	18	9	7	2	25	14	+11	34
3	AC Oulu	18	9	3	6	22	21	+1	30
4	Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	+5	29
5	HJK Helsinki	18	8	4	6	28	23	+5	28
6	VPS	18	7	6	5	24	17	+7	27
7	Lahti	18	7	4	7	22	16	+6	25
8	Turku PS	18	7	4	7	23	20	+3	25
9	Ilves	18	6	4	8	29	31	-2	22
10	SJK	19	4	6	9	24	29	-5	18
11	FF Jaro	18	3	6	9	17	35	-18	15
12	Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	-30	5

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

5 Väisänen

16 Miettunen

13 Wallius

14 Popovitch

22 Multala

24 Kumpu

28 Kilo

17 Baranov

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
24	Ville Kumpu	D
22	Oskari Multala	M
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
28	Jesse Kilo	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

30	Jardell Kanga	M
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
19	Abdoul Goudouss Bamba	D
25	Sebastian Suvanne	D
1	Otso Virtanen	G
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
33	Yacouba Sacko	M
10	Roope Riski	F
45	Elias Tamminen	F

AC Oulu

Formation: 3-2-4-1 Coach: Mikko Isokangas

13 Santos

18 Cassama

66 Pirinen

3 Lietsa

6 Paananen

25 Arsalo

22 Kaukua

27 Kallio

7 Karjalainen

11 Ghezali

32 Koné

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
3	Alex Lietsa	D
66	Juha Pirinen	D
18	Adramane Cassama	M
25	Markus Arsalo	M
6	Julius Paananen	M
11	Lamine Ghezali	M
7	Rasmus Karjalainen	M
27	Elias Kallio	M
22	Tuomas Kaukua	M
32	Abdoulaye Koné	F

Substitutes

14	Niklas Jokelainen	M
99	Niklas Schulz	G
2	Sami Sipola	D
5	Mikko Pitkänen	D
16	Otto Kemppainen	D
29	Santeri Silander	D
8	Matias Ojala	M
20	Kalifa Jatta	M