VPS vs Inter Turku Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Inter Turku

Away

Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa

AI call Inter Turku or draw

32%

29%

40%

Home Win · 2.71 Draw · 3.41 Away Win · 2.70

VPS vs Inter Turku prediction: Sportiko gives VPS a 32% chance of winning, Inter Turku 40% and the draw 29%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 13:55.

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Under 3.5 Goals 75% @ 1.32
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'

Eeli Kiiskila

Yellow Card

29' ▮

▮ 32'

Julius Tauriainen Yellow Card

▮ 42'

Iiro Järvinen Yellow Card

HT 0–1

X. Odhiambo ⇄ J. Muzinga

46' ⇄

⇄ 61'

Iiro Järvinen ⇄ Janne-Pekka Laine

⇄ 61'

Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué

⇄ 61'

Vincent Ulundu

⇄ A. Räisänen

67' ⇄

⇄ 73'

⇄ Jasse Tuominen

K. Kouassivi-Benissan

75' ⇄

▮ 76'

Luka Kuittinen Yellow Card

⇄ 86'

Jussi Niska ⇄ Seth Saarinen

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean

Inter Turku or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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VPS

LLLWW

Inter Turku

WWWLD

Last 1 meetings VPS · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, VPS faces Inter Turku. VPS has shown a solid defensive record, allowing only 1.2 goals per game on average this season, while Inter Turku’s attack has been consistent, scoring 1.5 goals per match. Both teams are vying for crucial points in the league standings; VPS will need to leverage their home form to secure a victory against a competitive Inter Turku side. The match outcome may hinge on VPS's ability to contain Inter's forward play while maximizing their scoring opportunities.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Inter Turku leads 0-1. Win probability: 87.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Inter Turku leads. Win probability: 78.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.9%.

19' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Inter Turku win: 75.8%. BTTS: 56.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inter Turku goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	9	4	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ VPS goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

VPS

L. Smyth 5 gls

Inter Turku

J. Yli-Kokko 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 35% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	10.0%	8.8%	4.4%	1.7%
1	6.6%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.3%	6.5%	4.9%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.5%	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	VPS	Draw	Inter Turku
VPS	16.7%	5.0%	2.4%
Draw	8.2%	18.3%	16.2%
Inter Turku	1.0%	3.7%	28.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: VPS vs Inter Turku

0 VPS Wins

0 Draws

1 Inter Turku Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jun 2026	VPS	2 - 3	Inter Turku

VPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Inter Turku	L	0 - 1
25 Jul	A KuPS	L	3 - 1
18 Jul	A HJK Helsinki	L	2 - 1
10 Jul	H SJK	W	1 - 0
04 Jul	H Mariehamn	W	4 - 0

Inter Turku — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
02 Aug	A VPS	W	0 - 1
30 Jul	H Başakşehir	W	2 - 0
26 Jul	H Gnistan	L	1 - 2
22 Jul	A Başakşehir	D	1 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	18	11	6	1	33	16	+17	39
2	Inter Turku	18	9	7	2	25	14	+11	34
3	AC Oulu	18	9	3	6	22	21	+1	30
4	Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	+5	29
5	HJK Helsinki	18	8	4	6	28	23	+5	28
6	VPS	18	7	6	5	24	17	+7	27
7	Lahti	18	7	4	7	22	16	+6	25
8	Turku PS	18	7	4	7	23	20	+3	25
9	Ilves	18	6	4	8	29	31	-2	22
10	SJK	19	4	6	9	24	29	-5	18
11	FF Jaro	18	3	6	9	17	35	-18	15
12	Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	-30	5

VPS

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Jussi Nuorela

41 Jalloh

19 Haukioja

6 Okereke

23 Niemi

7 Turfkruier

8 Lima

2 Mané

14 Lindholm

13 Ogunniyi

27 Kouassivi-Benissan

20 Odhiambo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	Mamadou Jalloh	G
23	Miika Niemi	D
6	Emmanuel Okereke	D
19	Martti Haukioja	D
13	Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi	D
14	Simon Lindholm	M
2	Lassana Mané	D
8	Paulo Lima	M
7	Jayden Turfkruier	M
20	Xavier Odhiambo	F
27	Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan	M

Substitutes

11	Jonathan Muzinga	F
34	Antti-Ville Räisänen	M
12	Lucas Väyrynen	G
3	Razak Simpson	D
33	Akon Kuek	D
24	Yassin Daoussi	M
26	Rasmus Forsbacka	M
30	Joonas Vahtera	M
9	Casper Holmelund	F

Inter Turku

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vesa-Pekka Vasara

1 Huuhtanen

2 Niska

30 Amankwah

22 Kuittinen

24 Tauriainen

4 Ahiabu

19 Järvinen

27 Ulundu

35 Kiiskila

23 Essomba

11 Botué

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Eetu Huuhtanen	G
24	Julius Tauriainen	D
22	Luka Kuittinen	D
30	Yeboah Amankwah	D
2	Jussi Niska	D
19	Iiro Järvinen	M
4	Prosper Ahiabu	M
23	Antoin Loic Essomba	F
35	Eeli Kiiskila	M
27	Vincent Ulundu	M
11	Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué	F

Substitutes

14	Janne-Pekka Laine	M
10	Alie Conteh	F
12	Eero Vuorjoki	G
18	Seth Saarinen	D
20	Axel Sandler	D
9	Jasse Tuominen	M
17	Bismark Ampofo	M
26	Vilho Huovila	M
16	Clinton Jephta	F