Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction

Liga I · Regular Season - 3

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Petrolul Ploiesti

Away

AI call Difficult Universitatea Craiova win or draw

59%

26%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction: Sportiko gives Universitatea Craiova a 59% chance of winning, Petrolul Ploiesti 15% and the draw 26%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 20:27.

Timeline

Steven Nsimba assist: Carlos Mora

1' ⚽ 1–0

Steven Nsimba Yellow Card

18' ▮

Steven Nsimba assist: Ștefan Baiaram

18' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

Calal Huseinov

⇄ 46'

Paul Papp ⇄ Mario Ioniță

Steven Nsimba ⇄ Simon Elisor

46' ⇄

Ștefan Baiaram assist: Carlos Mora

48' ⚽ 3–0

David Matei ⇄ Luca Băsceanu

61' ⇄

Ștefan Baiaram ⇄ Monday Etim

61' ⇄

⇄ 64'

⇄ Rodrigo Martins

⇄ 64'

David Paraschiv ⇄ Robert Jerdea

Simon Elisor assist: Anzor Mekvabishvili

65' ⚽ 4–0

Nicușor Bancu ⇄ Alexandru Cicâldău

69' ⇄

Anzor Mekvabishvili ⇄ Alexandru Crețu

75' ⇄

▮ 79'

Lukáš Zima Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

Léo Teixeira ⇄ Mark Țuțu

▮ 87'

Dan N'Lundulu Yellow Card

FT 4–0

Universitatea Craiova

Match Stats

Petrolul Ploiesti

62% Ball Possession 38%

Expected Goals (xG)

26 Total Shots 8

11 Shots on Goal 2

12 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 2

19 Shots insidebox 3

7 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 4

15 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 7

578 Total passes 345

502 Passes accurate 274

87% Passes % 79%

goals_prevented

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Universitatea Craiova win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Universitatea Craiova

WWWWD

Petrolul Ploiesti

WDWLW

Match summary

Universitatea Craiova will face Petrolul Ploiesti in a Liga I match on August 1, 2026. Historically, Universitatea Craiova has shown strong performances at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match last season, while Petrolul Ploiesti struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will look to capitalize on their respective strengths; Craiova's attacking prowess against Petrolul's defensive vulnerabilities could be pivotal. The outcome may hinge on whether Ploiesti can tighten their defense and disrupt Craiova's rhythm in attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Petrolul Ploiesti goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Universitatea Craiova goals · most likely 1–0 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Universitatea Craiova

A. Al Hamlawi 4 gls

S. Elisor 4 gls

Petrolul Ploiesti

B. Malula 3 gls

D. Nlundulu 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	6.2%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
1	14.4%	13.3%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.1%	9.0%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%
3	6.1%	4.5%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.3%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Universitatea Craiova	Draw	Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova	36.0%	3.5%	0.7%
Draw	17.8%	19.7%	6.4%
Petrolul Ploiesti	1.8%	3.8%	10.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Universitatea Craiova — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FCSB	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Corvinul Hunedoara	W	0 - 1
07 Sep	H Universitatea Cluj	W	4 - 0
03 Sep	A FC Bacau	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Rapid	D	1 - 1

Petrolul Ploiesti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Csikszereda	W	2 - 0
14 Sep	A FCSB	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Corvinul Hunedoara	W	2 - 0
01 Sep	A Universitatea Cluj	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	A Universitatea Cluj	W	2 - 3

Liga I Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	10	7	2	1	23	7	+16	23
2	Rapid	10	6	3	1	14	6	+8	21
3	Universitatea Craiova	10	6	2	2	24	9	+15	20
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	10	6	1	3	13	12	+1	19
5	Universitatea Cluj	9	5	0	4	14	13	+1	15
6	Farul Constanta	10	3	5	2	14	14	0	14
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	10	3	4	3	11	9	+2	13
8	CFR 1907 Cluj	9	4	1	4	15	14	+1	13
9	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	10	3	4	3	7	10	-3	13
10	Uta Arad	10	3	3	4	14	15	-1	12
11	FCSB	10	3	3	4	13	17	-4	12
12	FC Botosani	10	2	5	3	14	12	+2	11
13	Arges Pitesti	10	3	2	5	6	10	-4	11
14	Oţelul	10	2	4	4	11	15	-4	10
15	FC Voluntari	10	2	2	6	9	22	-13	8
16	Csikszereda	10	0	1	9	6	23	-17	1

Universitatea Craiova

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Petrolul Ploiesti

Coach: Ricardo Sousa