Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction

Czech Liga Czech Liga · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
AI call Plzen or draw
42%
26%
33%
Home Win · 1.53 Draw · 4.75 Away Win · 6.40

Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno prediction: Sportiko gives Plzen a 42% chance of winning, Zbrojovka Brno 33% and the draw 26%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 19:55.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Draw/Away & Over 1.5 73%
  • Away 2H Over 0.5 72%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 71% @ 1.67
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

2'
Lukáš Saal Yellow Card
Christophe Kabongo assist: Alexandr Sojka
14' 1–0
Stefan Pirgić Yellow Card
45+2'
HT 1–0
46'
Lukáš Saal ⇄ Petr Ševčík
49'
Amadou Dante Yellow Card
1–1 58'
Daniel Vašulín assist: Tadeáš Vachoušek
Matěj Vydra ⇄ Tomáš Ladra
66'
Alexandr Sojka ⇄ Salim Fago Lawal
66'
68'
Lucky Ezeh ⇄ Antonin Vanicek
Stefan Pirgić ⇄ Lukáš Červ
71'
Christophe Kabongo ⇄ Denis Višinský
71'
Amar Memić ⇄ Cheick Souaré
78'
79'
Daniel Vašulín ⇄ Oliver Velich
79'
Tadeáš Vachoušek ⇄ Martin Rymarenko
87'
Amadou Dante ⇄ Jaromír Zmrhal
90+1'
Antonin Vanicek Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Plzen

Match Stats

Zbrojovka Brno
57% Ball Possession 43%
0.80 Expected Goals (xG) 0.65
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 1
5 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
482 Total passes 373
424 Passes accurate 309
88% Passes % 83%
-0.28 goals_prevented -0.28
Plzen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Christophe Kabongo M 7.9 71' 1 2 17 (15%) 3
12 Alexandr Sojka M 7.3 66' 1 24 (21%)
40 Sampson Dweh D 7.2 91' 81 (75%) 2
37 Dávid Krčík D 7.0 91' 67 (62%) 2
17 Patrik Hrošovský M 6.9 91' 41 (35%)
99 Amar Memić M 6.7 78' 2 34 (29%) 3
19 Cheick Souaré M 6.7 13' 14 (12%)
6 Lukáš Červ M 6.6 20' 15 (14%)
44 Florian Wiegele G 6.6 91' 30 (27%)
18 Tomáš Ladra F 6.6 25' 2 7 (5%)
11 Matěj Vydra F 6.6 66' 3 17 (14%)
36 Stefan Pirgić M 6.6 71' 27 (24%) 1
9 Denis Višinský M 6.5 20' 5 (5%)
5 Karel Spáčil D 6.5 91' 1 53 (42%)
7 Salim Fago Lawal F 6.5 25' 4 (3%)
98 Filip Prebsl D 6.3 91' 43 (38%) 2
Zbrojovka Brno
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Kauan Carneiro Kaka D 7.5 91' 49 (43%) 1
26 Filip Vedral D 7.3 91' 1 51 (43%) 1
15 Daniel Vašulín F 7.3 79' 1 2 16 (11%)
68 Jakub Janetzký M 6.9 91' 52 (43%)
23 Petr Ševčík M 6.9 46' 20 (18%) 1
11 Martin Rymarenko F 6.7 12' 1 1 (1%)
10 Antonin Vanicek M 6.7 23' 3 (3%)
44 Amadou Dante D 6.5 87' 24 (21%) 1
14 Tadeáš Vachoušek M 6.5 79' 1 1 20 (16%) 1
77 Lucky Ezeh F 6.5 68' 1 17 (14%)
1 Adam Hrdina G 6.3 91' 53 (39%)
39 Jakub Klíma D 6.3 91' 23 (21%) 1
9 Oliver Velich F 6.3 12' 1 (1%)
20 Lukáš Saal M 6.3 45' 22 (19%)
6 Lukas Penxa M 6.2 91' 20 (16%) 1
17 Jaromír Zmrhal M 4' 1
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean
Plzen or draw
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Plzen
DLWLD
Zbrojovka Brno
LDWWL

Match summary

In the upcoming Czech Liga match, Plzen will face Zbrojovka Brno. Plzen has historically performed well against Brno, winning a significant majority of their encounters. This season, Plzen has maintained a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Brno has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Additionally, Plzen's midfield control and pressing game could exploit Brno's tendency to lose possession in critical areas. Overall, Plzen enters this match as the clear favorite based on recent form and head-to-head statistics.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67%. Late goal chance: 35.2%.

58' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 44.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Plzen leads. Win probability: 42.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.5%.

15' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Plzen win: 29.1%. BTTS: 84.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Plzen
C. Kabongo 1 gls
Zbrojovka Brno
D. Vašulín 2 gls
T. Vachoušek 1 gls

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Head to Head: Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Plzen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Aug H Zbrojovka Brno D 1 - 1
25 Jul H Slovan Liberec L 1 - 3
14 Jul H Polessya W 2 - 0
10 Jul H BSC Young Boys L 3 - 5
07 Jul H FC Copenhagen D 1 - 1

Zbrojovka Brno — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug H Slovan Liberec L 0 - 1
01 Aug A Plzen D 1 - 1
25 Jul H Sparta Praha W 3 - 1
17 Jul H Podbrezová W 2 - 0
08 Jul A TSV Hartberg L 2 - 0

Czech Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Slavia Praha
2 2 0 0 +8 6
2
FK Jablonec
2 2 0 0 +3 6
3
Teplice
2 2 0 0 +3 6
4
Slovan Liberec
3 2 0 1 +2 6
5
Mlada Boleslav
2 1 1 0 +2 4
6
Zbrojovka Brno
3 1 1 1 +1 4
7
Hradec Králové
2 1 1 0 +1 4
8
Sparta Praha
2 1 0 1 0 3
9
Baník Ostrava
2 1 0 1 -3 3
10
Sigma Olomouc
2 0 1 1 -1 1
11
Artis
2 0 1 1 -2 1
12
Plzen
2 0 1 1 -2 1
13
Bohemians 1905
2 0 1 1 -2 1
14
Slovácko
2 0 1 1 -4 1
15
Karviná
0 0 0 0 0 0
15
Pardubice
2 0 0 2 -3 0
16
Zlin
2 0 0 2 -3 0

Plzen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Martin Hysky
44 Wiegele
5 Spáčil
40 Dweh
37 Krčík
98 Prebsl
17 Hrošovský
36 Pirgić
25 Kabongo
12 Sojka
99 Memić
11 Vydra

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 Florian Wiegele G
98 Filip Prebsl D
37 Dávid Krčík D
40 Sampson Dweh D
5 Karel Spáčil D
36 Stefan Pirgić M
17 Patrik Hrošovský M
99 Amar Memić M
12 Alexandr Sojka M
25 Christophe Kabongo M
11 Matěj Vydra F

Substitutes

18 Tomáš Ladra F
7 Salim Fago Lawal F
6 Lukáš Červ M
9 Denis Višinský M
1 Dominik Ťapaj G
14 Merchas Doski D
19 Cheick Souaré M
66 Sebastian Boháč M
10 Mohamed Toure F
80 Prince Kwabena Adu F
23 Baboucarr Faal F

Zbrojovka Brno

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Martin Svedik
1 Hrdina
44 Dante
3 Kaka
26 Vedral
39 Klíma
14 Vachoušek
20 Saal
68 Janetzký
6 Penxa
15 Vašulín
77 Ezeh

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Adam Hrdina G
39 Jakub Klíma D
26 Filip Vedral D
3 Kauan Carneiro Kaka D
44 Amadou Dante D
6 Lukas Penxa M
68 Jakub Janetzký M
20 Lukáš Saal M
14 Tadeáš Vachoušek M
77 Lucky Ezeh F
15 Daniel Vašulín F

Substitutes

23 Petr Ševčík M
10 Antonin Vanicek M
24 Dominik Sváček G
17 Jaromír Zmrhal M
4 Eric Hunal D
11 Martin Rymarenko F
29 Patrik Žitný M
19 Bienvenue Kanakimana F
7 Štěpán Langer M
18 Denis Granečný D
9 Oliver Velich F

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