Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest Prediction

NB I NB I · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Bozsik Aréna, Budapest
AI call MTK Budapest or draw
27%
27%
46%
Home Win · 2.62 Draw · 3.59 Away Win · 2.59

Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest prediction: Sportiko gives Budapest Honved a 27% chance of winning, MTK Budapest 46% and the draw 27%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 17:32.

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Timeline

Ádam Szamosi assist: Ákos Zuigéber
15' 1–0
27'
⇄ György Komáromi
34'
Gábor Jurek Yellow Card
Ádam Somogyi assist: Tamás Somogyi
44' 2–0
2–1 45+2'
Gábor Jurek assist: Zalán Kerezsi
HT 2–1
46'
Krisztián László
46'
⇄ Vilius Armalas
2–2 53'
Zalán Kerezsi
Branko Pauljević ⇄ Kevin Kállai
56'
64'
Gábor Jurek ⇄ Milán Klausz
Kevin Kállai Yellow Card
66'
Ádam Szamosi ⇄ Zoltán Medgyes
69'
Ákos Zuigéber ⇄ Patrik Pinte
69'
74'
György Komáromi Yellow Card
Adi Alić ⇄ Kevin Kántor
79'
Deian Boldor ⇄ Istvan Mark Pekar
79'
82'
Zalán Kerezsi ⇄ Dániel Zsóri
Dominik Csontos Penalty
87' 3–2
Ákos Baki Red Card
90+4'
3–3 90+6'
FT 3–3
Budapest Honved

Match Stats

MTK Budapest
43% Ball Possession 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
340 Total passes 446
252 Passes accurate 347
74% Passes % 78%
goals_prevented
Budapest Honved
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Ádam Somogyi M 8.3 94' 1 1 36 (25%) 4
40 Ádam Szamosi M 7.5 69' 1 1 11 (7%)
5 Dominik Csontos M 7.3 94' 1 1 44 (40%) 2
72 Kevin Kállai D 6.9 38' 12 (9%) 1
71 Kevin Kántor F 6.9 15' 1 1 (1%)
19 Adi Alić F 6.7 79' 2 11 (6%) 2
30 Tamás Somogyi M 6.6 94' 1 31 (22%) 2
44 Ákos Baki D 6.5 94' 1 39 (32%) 1
52 Deian Boldor D 6.3 79' 3 38 (30%)
11 Szilveszter Hangya D 6.3 94' 39 (32%) 2
17 Patrik Pinte F 6.3 25' 6 (5%)
99 Istvan Mark Pekar D 6.3 15'
83 Tomáš Tujvel G 6.2 94' 30 (17%)
23 Zoltán Medgyes F 6.2 25' 1 5 (4%)
7 Ákos Zuigéber M 6.2 69' 1 1 20 (10%) 1
49 Branko Pauljević D 5.9 56' 17 (12%)
MTK Budapest
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Zalán Kerezsi F 8.3 82' 1 1 2 14 (9%) 1
6 Mihály Kata M 7.2 94' 55 (49%) 3
11 Gábor Jurek M 7.2 64' 1 2 14 (10%) 2
10 István Bognár M 6.9 49' 1 29 (20%)
77 György Komáromi M 6.9 67' 1 18 (8%) 3
9 Milán Klausz F 6.7 30' 2 14 (9%) 1
16 Krisztián László M 6.6 45' 10 (8%) 2
80 Adrian Zeljković M 6.5 94' 1 55 (49%) 1
7 Dániel Zsóri F 6.5 12' 1 1 (1%) 1
17 Kristóf Hinora F 6.3 27' 5 (4%) 1
1 Patrik Demjén G 6.2 94' 42 (34%)
2 Benedek Varju D 6.2 45' 27 (19%) 2
4 Ilia Beriashvili D 6.2 94' 50 (37%) 3
55 Stipe Radić D 6.2 94' 60 (54%) 1
27 Patrik Kovács D 6.2 94' 1 38 (25%) 2
26 Vilius Armalas D 6.2 49' 14 (11%)
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean
MTK Budapest or draw
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Budapest Honved
DDWWW
MTK Budapest
LDWLW

Match summary

In this upcoming NB I clash, Budapest Honved will face MTK Budapest. Both teams are familiar rivals, with historical matches often showcasing tight contests. Budapest Honved has shown a solid home record, while MTK Budapest has been competitive on the road. Key players to watch include Honved's forward line, which has been effective in recent fixtures, and MTK's defense, which will need to remain organized to limit scoring opportunities. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with midfield control likely determining the outcome.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 3-3. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Budapest Honved win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 69.9%. Late goal chance: 32.6%.

55' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 48.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 85% sure

Budapest Honved now leads 2-0 with 83.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Budapest Honved
A. Szamosi 1 gls
Adam Somogyi 1 gls
Á. Baki 1 gls
MTK Budapest
Zalán Márk Kerezsi 3 gls
G. Jurek 1 gls
I. Bognár 1 gls
M. Klausz 1 gls

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Head to Head: Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Budapest Honved — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Aug H MTK Budapest D 3 - 3
25 Jul A Kisvarda FC D 1 - 1
03 Jul A Sturm Graz II W 1 - 2
22 Mar A Karcag SE W 0 - 1
14 Mar A Bekescsaba 1912 W 0 - 2

MTK Budapest — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug H Puskas Academy L 2 - 3
01 Aug A Budapest Honved D 3 - 3
27 Jul H Zalaegerszegi TE W 3 - 0
11 Jul H LNZ Cherkasy L 0 - 4
08 Jul A Celje W 1 - 2

NB I Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Puskas Academy
3 2 0 1 +1 6
2
Gyori ETO FC
2 1 1 0 +4 4
3
MTK Budapest
3 1 1 1 +2 4
4
Kisvarda FC
2 1 1 0 +2 4
5
Ujpest
2 1 0 1 +1 3
6
Zalaegerszegi TE
2 1 0 1 0 3
7
Paks
2 1 0 1 -1 3
8
Nyiregyhaza
2 1 0 1 -3 3
9
Budapest Honved
2 0 2 0 0 2
10
Vasas
2 0 2 0 0 2
11
Ferencvarosi TC
2 0 1 1 -2 1
12
Debreceni VSC
2 0 0 2 -4 0

Budapest Honved

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Maurizio Jacobacci
83 Tujvel
11 Hangya
52 Boldor
44 Baki
49 Pauljević
5 Csontos
8 Somogyi
40 Szamosi
30 Somogyi
7 Zuigéber
19 Alić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
83 Tomáš Tujvel G
49 Branko Pauljević D
44 Ákos Baki D
52 Deian Boldor D
11 Szilveszter Hangya D
8 Ádam Somogyi M
5 Dominik Csontos M
7 Ákos Zuigéber M
30 Tamás Somogyi M
40 Ádam Szamosi M
19 Adi Alić F

Substitutes

31 Osman Hadžikić G
1 Gellért Dúzs G
15 Bonifác Csonka D
3 Pablo García D
4 Alex Szabó D
72 Kevin Kállai D
99 Istvan Mark Pekar D
9 Ádám Gyurcsó F
23 Zoltán Medgyes F
71 Kevin Kántor F
17 Patrik Pinte F
46 Botond Schön F

MTK Budapest

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Mate Pinezits
1 Demjén
27 Kovács
55 Radić
4 Beriashvili
2 Varju
16 László
80 Zeljković
6 Kata
11 Jurek
20 Kerezsi
17 Hinora

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Patrik Demjén G
2 Benedek Varju D
4 Ilia Beriashvili D
55 Stipe Radić D
27 Patrik Kovács D
11 Gábor Jurek M
6 Mihály Kata M
80 Adrian Zeljković M
16 Krisztián László M
17 Kristóf Hinora F
20 Zalán Kerezsi F

Substitutes

77 György Komáromi M
24 Tamás Fadgyas G
18 Csaba Belényesi D
5 Dániel Horváth D
13 Timóteus János Mikolay D
26 Vilius Armalas D
8 Ádám Zubor M
23 Jakub Plšek M
14 Artúr Horváth M
10 István Bognár M
7 Dániel Zsóri F
9 Milán Klausz F

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