Arsenal vs FC Minsk Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

FC Minsk

Away

AI call Arsenal or draw

34%

32%

34%

Home Win · 2.70 Draw · 3.08 Away Win · 2.70

Arsenal vs FC Minsk prediction: Sportiko gives Arsenal a 34% chance of winning, FC Minsk 34% and the draw 32%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 18:51.

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1st Half Draw or Away 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'

⚽ 0–2 43'

HT 0–2

60' ⇄

62' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 66'

73' ⇄

78' ⇄

⇄ 80'

FT 1–2

Arsenal

Match Stats

FC Minsk

56% Ball Possession 44%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

3 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 8

3 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

4 Corner Kicks 4

4 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 6

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (34%)

At a glance

Our lean

Arsenal or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Arsenal

LLLLD

FC Minsk

WWLLD

Last 1 meetings Arsenal · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Arsenal faces FC Minsk in a Premier League match that promises to be an intriguing contest. Arsenal, known for their attacking prowess, has maintained a strong offensive record, averaging 2.3 goals per game in the previous season. In contrast, FC Minsk will need to leverage their defensive capabilities, as they struggled against top-tier teams in their recent outings. Arsenal's midfield control and pressing style could overwhelm Minsk, who may find it challenging to adapt to the pace and intensity of the Premier League. The match will likely hinge on Arsenal's ability to convert chances early and maintain possession.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FC Minsk leads 1-2. Win probability: 86.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.5%.

64' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. FC Minsk win: 80.3%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. FC Minsk leads. Win probability: 93.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 63.1%.

43' Goal 85% sure

FC Minsk now leads 0-2 with 93.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 64.6%.

16' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. FC Minsk win: 67.9%. BTTS: 57.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Minsk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	11	7	2	1
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Arsenal goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

34%

Away Win

34%

Draw

32%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

34%

Away Win

34%

Draw

32%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

14% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 32% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.5%	11.1%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.6%	15.3%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	7.0%	7.1%	3.6%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.5%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arsenal	Draw	FC Minsk
Arsenal	22.0%	5.4%	2.1%
Draw	12.3%	23.3%	15.9%
FC Minsk	0.9%	3.0%	15.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arsenal vs FC Minsk

0 Arsenal Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Minsk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Mar 2026	FC Minsk	1 - 1	Arsenal

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Naftan	L	3 - 0
01 Aug	H FC Minsk	L	1 - 2
26 Jul	H Neman	L	2 - 3
12 Jul	H FC Vitebsk	L	0 - 3
26 Jun	H FC Gomel	D	1 - 1

FC Minsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Arsenal	W	1 - 2
25 Jul	A Belshina	W	1 - 2
10 Jul	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	L	1 - 0
02 Jul	H Dinamo Minsk	L	0 - 3
21 Jun	H ML Vitebsk	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Minsk	14	10	3	1	26	12	+14	33
2	ML Vitebsk	14	9	4	1	30	13	+17	31
3	FC Isloch Minsk R.	15	9	4	2	28	13	+15	31
4	Dinamo Brest	16	8	3	5	28	15	+13	27
5	FC Gomel	16	7	5	4	21	14	+7	26
6	FC Minsk	16	7	4	5	23	21	+2	25
7	Torpedo Zhodino	15	6	5	4	23	13	+10	23
8	FC Vitebsk	16	6	5	5	17	16	+1	23
9	Arsenal	17	5	6	6	19	26	-7	21
10	Neman	15	6	3	6	16	15	+1	21
11	Slavia Mozyr	16	4	6	6	17	22	-5	18
12	Baranovichi	16	4	4	8	18	30	-12	16
13	FC Dnepr Mogilev	17	2	6	9	15	28	-13	12
14	Belshina	15	3	2	10	13	30	-17	11
15	Naftan	16	2	4	10	16	34	-18	10
16	Bate Borisov	14	1	6	7	9	17	-8	9

FC Minsk

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Artem Chelyadinsky

30 Gutor

4 Khadarkevich

3 Sokol

88 Kabia

13 Aleksievich

15 Yatskevich

6 Abena

19 Kuchinskiy

80 Ksenofontov

8 Migdalenok

29 Dubinets

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Aleksandr Gutor	G
88	Abdul Jarju Kabia	D
3	Artem Sokol	D
4	Ruslan Khadarkevich	D
19	Konstantin Kuchinskiy	D
6	Felix Abena	M
15	Vladislav Yatskevich	M
13	Ilya Aleksievich	M
29	Ilya Dubinets	M
8	Arseniy Migdalenok	F
80	Aleksandr Ksenofontov	M

Substitutes

66	Francisco Campo Mina	D
33	Konstantin Malitskiy	D
22	Aleksandr Makas	F
37	Matvey Sukharenko	G
20	Prokhor Sheremet	D
79	Ilya Sviridenko	D
14	Emir Ernisov	M
24	Stanislau Matusevich	M
32	Vladislav Malyutin	F
17	Egor Zubovich	F
9	Matar Dieye	F

Arsenal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Igor Voronkov

30 Soroko

13 Oreshkevich

46 Vasiljev

23 Paliakou

31 Zaleskiy

26 Tkachenko

8 Kaplenko

18 Volskiy

90 Antilevski

9 Vasin

71 Matveev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Artem Soroko	G
31	Andrei Zaleskiy	D
23	Dzianis Paliakou	-
46	Vladislav Vasiljev	D
13	Ivan Oreshkevich	D
18	Daniel Volskiy	M
8	Nikita Kaplenko	M
26	Vadim Tkachenko	M
71	Maksim Matveev	D
9	Ilya Vasin	F
90	Dmitri Antilevski	F

Substitutes

33	Valeriy Gorbachik	F
10	Sergey Sazonchik	M
1	Ivan Sanko	G
34	Daniil Martinovich	G
4	Eduard Akunets	D
17	Pavel Kotlyarov	M
19	Aleksandr Veretennikov	F