Nafta vs Mura Prediction

1. SNL · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Mura

Away

AI call Nafta or draw

40%

30%

Home Win · 2.48 Draw · 3.46 Away Win · 2.80

Nafta vs Mura prediction: Sportiko gives Nafta a 40% chance of winning, Mura 30% and the draw 30%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 17:56.

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Home to Score 72%

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Timeline

Goal Disallowed - video review

4' 🖵

21' ⚽ 1–0

31' ⚽ 2–0

🖵 35'

Goal Disallowed - video review

⚽ 2–1 39'

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 2–1

46' ⇄

51' ⚽ 3–1

▮ 54'

Yellow Card

56' ⚽ 4–1

59' ⚽ 5–1

⇄ 62'

⚽ 5–2 70'

71' ⇄

Yellow Card

76' ▮

⇄ 83'

⇄ Florjan Jevsenak

84' ⇄

90' ⇄

FT 5–2

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean

Nafta or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Nafta

WWLDW

Mura

LWLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming 1. SNL match, Nafta will face Mura, both teams seeking crucial points early in the season. Nafta's recent form shows a strong offensive output, averaging 1.5 goals per match in their last five games, while Mura has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in the same period. Key players to watch include Nafta's leading scorer, who has netted three times in the last two matches, and Mura's playmaker, whose creativity will be essential for breaking down Nafta's defense. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams aiming to establish momentum in the league.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Nafta leads 5-2. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

71' Goal 85% sure

Nafta now leads 5-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 36.1%.

59' Goal 85% sure

Nafta now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 51.5%.

58' Goal 85% sure

Nafta now leads 4-1 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 52.6%.

53' Goal 85% sure

Nafta now leads 3-1 with 96.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 57.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mura goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	9	5	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	3	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Nafta goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

30%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

30%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	8.7%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.0%	14.8%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.3%	8.3%	3.7%	1.1%	0.2%
3	3.9%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nafta	Draw	Mura
Nafta	25.9%	4.1%	1.2%
Draw	16.8%	22.1%	10.5%
Mura	1.7%	4.0%	13.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nafta vs Mura

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Nafta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Mura	W	5 - 2
26 Jul	A Bravo	W	0 - 3
17 Jul	H Koper	L	0 - 1
21 Mar	A Gorica	D	1 - 1
16 Mar	H Dravinja	W	2 - 0

Mura — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Nafta	L	5 - 2
25 Jul	H Olimpija Ljubljana	W	1 - 0
05 Jul	A Beltinci	L	1 - 0
26 Jun	A Sturm Graz	L	5 - 0
21 Mar	H Radomlje	W	2 - 0

1. SNL Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nafta	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Bravo	3	2	0	1	4	4	0	6
3	Maribor	3	1	2	0	4	1	+3	5
4	Koper	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
5	Brinje-Grosuplje	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4
6	Mura	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1	0	2	1	3	-2	3
8	Celje	2	0	2	0	3	3	0	2
9	Aluminij	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
10	Radomlje	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.