FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Prediction

Challenge League · Regular Season - 2

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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Away

AI call Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw

32%

25%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy prediction: Sportiko gives FC Aarau a 32% chance of winning, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 44% and the draw 25%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 17:54.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%

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Timeline

8' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 54'

59' ⇄

Yellow Card

62' ▮

⇄ 65'

▮ 70'

Yellow Card

73' ⇄

⇄ 74'

▮ 78'

Yellow Card

78' ▮

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

85' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FC Aarau

LDWDW

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

DWWWD

Match summary

FC Aarau faces Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in a Challenge League clash on August 1, 2026. FC Aarau has shown a solid home record, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game this season, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. Both teams have comparable possession statistics, but Aarau's ability to convert chances could be key. Recent form favors Aarau, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Lausanne-Ouchy has only secured 1 win in their last 5 outings. This matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams looking for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	12	13	8	4	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FC Aarau goals · most likely 0–2 (12.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

32%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

32%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

82% Away (No Draw) 18% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	12.0%	12.5%	7.8%	3.7%
1	4.2%	11.8%	9.8%	6.1%	2.8%
2	2.2%	4.1%	3.8%	2.4%	1.1%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Aarau	Draw	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Aarau	7.6%	3.5%	2.4%
Draw	5.9%	15.9%	20.6%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0.9%	3.4%	39.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Aarau — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Kriens	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Rapperswil	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A FC WIL 1900	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	2 - 1

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Yverdon Sport	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	W	4 - 0
04 Sep	A SC Kriens	W	0 - 2
01 Sep	H Étoile Carouge	W	3 - 0
28 Aug	A FC Winterthur	D	1 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.