FC Porto vs Torreense Prediction

Super Cup · Final

Post on X

Torreense

Away

AI call FC Porto to win

83%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Porto vs Torreense prediction: Sportiko gives FC Porto a 83% chance of winning, Torreense 5% and the draw 11%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 21:20.

Timeline

▮ 12'

Yellow Card

▮ 18'

Yellow Card

Victor Froholdt assist: Pepê

38' ⚽ 1–0

William Gomes Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 1–0

Jan Bednarek ⇄ Alan Varela

46' ⇄

Pablo Rosario Yellow Card

60' ▮

William Gomes ⇄ Borja Sainz

62' ⇄

André Silva ⇄ Deniz Gül

63' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Gabri Veiga ⇄ Hwang In-beom

73' ⇄

⇄ 77'

⇄ Jonathan Mutombo

⇄ 77'

⇄ 83'

⇄ Karem Zoabi

⇄ 83'

Alberto Costa ⇄ Martim Fernandes

83' ⇄

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

Jakub Kiwior Yellow Card

90' ▮

FT 1–0

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Confidence High (83%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Porto to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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FC Porto

WWLWW

Torreense

WDWLD

Match summary

FC Porto will face Torreense in the Super Cup on August 1, 2026. Porto's squad depth and experience in high-stakes matches will be crucial, as they typically dominate possession and create numerous goal-scoring opportunities, evidenced by their average of 60% possession and 15 shots per game last season. Torreense, while less experienced, has shown resilience and can capitalize on counter-attacks, but they will need to improve their defensive organization, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in recent outings. This match will test both teams' tactical approaches, with Porto likely looking to assert early control.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Torreense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	2	1
1	10	9	3	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	11	7	3	1
4	6	4	2
5	3	2	1

↑ FC Porto goals · most likely 2–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

FC Porto

Victor Mow Froholdt 1 gls

Pepê Aquino 0 gls

Diogo Costa 0 gls

André Silva 0 gls

Hwang In-Beom 0 gls

Torreense

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	2.4%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	10.3%	9.1%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.4%	9.5%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
3	10.5%	7.5%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	6.2%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Porto	Draw	Torreense
FC Porto	53.9%	3.3%	0.8%
Draw	18.3%	11.5%	3.9%
Torreense	1.9%	2.3%	4.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Porto vs Torreense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Torreense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A Lillestrom	W	1 - 2
11 Sep	H Leixoes	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Benfica B	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Vizela	L	0 - 3
22 Aug	A Lusitânia Lourosa	D	2 - 2

Super Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.