Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Dumbarton

Away

Forthbank Stadium, Stirling

AI call Stirling Albion or draw

39%

29%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton prediction: Sportiko gives Stirling Albion a 39% chance of winning, Dumbarton 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:54.

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1st Half Draw or Away 70%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

12' ▮

Penalty

18' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 43'

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–0

▮ 50'

Yellow Card

56' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 59'

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

71' ⇄

76' ⇄

82' ⇄

▮ 86'

Yellow Card

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Stirling Albion or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Stirling Albion

DDLWL

Dumbarton

WWLLW

Last 1 meetings Stirling Albion · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this League Two clash, Stirling Albion will face Dumbarton at their home ground. Stirling Albion has had a mixed start to the season, showing strength in attack with an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Dumbarton, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 1.8 goals per game. Both teams will look to capitalize on their respective strengths, but Stirling's offensive capability may give them the edge in this matchup. Key players to watch include Stirling's leading scorer, who has netted three goals in the last two matches, and Dumbarton's goalkeeper, who will need to step up to contain the pressure.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dumbarton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	9	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Stirling Albion goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	9.5%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
1	11.1%	15.1%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.6%	7.9%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
3	3.0%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stirling Albion	Draw	Dumbarton
Stirling Albion	23.5%	4.7%	1.7%
Draw	13.8%	21.6%	12.9%
Dumbarton	1.4%	3.8%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton

0 Stirling Albion Wins

1 Draws

0 Dumbarton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Stirling Albion	1 - 1	Dumbarton

Stirling Albion — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Cumbernauld Colts	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	H Clyde	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Edinburgh City	L	7 - 3
08 Sep	H Rangers U21	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Spartans	L	0 - 2

Dumbarton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Kilmarnock II	W	3 - 2
19 Sep	H Spartans	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Stranraer	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	A Cove Rangers	L	6 - 1
05 Sep	H Elgin City	W	2 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.