Montrose vs Hamilton Academical Prediction

League One · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Hamilton Academical

Away

Links Park, Montrose

AI call Difficult Hamilton Academical win or draw

21%

25%

54%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Montrose vs Hamilton Academical prediction: Sportiko gives Montrose a 21% chance of winning, Hamilton Academical 54% and the draw 25%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:54.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Own Goal

⚽ 0–2 23'

Missed Penalty

25' ✗

HT 0–2

⇄ 57'

62' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 68'

⚽ 0–4 70'

⇄ 76'

77' ⇄

⚽ 0–5 79'

⇄ 80'

81' ⇄

FT 0–5

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Hamilton Academical win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Montrose

LWWWW

Hamilton Academical

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings Montrose · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Montrose will face Hamilton Academical in a League One clash on August 1, 2026. Montrose has shown a solid home record, with a focus on maintaining possession and creating chances through their midfield. Hamilton Academical will aim to leverage their counter-attacking style, where pace on the wings can exploit any defensive gaps. Both teams have struggled with consistency, making this match crucial for establishing momentum early in the season. Key player performances, especially in midfield and defense, will likely determine the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamilton Academical goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	12	14	9	5	2
1	4	11	10	6	3	1
2	2	3	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Montrose goals · most likely 0–2 (13.7%)

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

25%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

25%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	12.4%	13.7%	9.1%	4.6%
1	3.5%	10.8%	9.6%	6.4%	3.2%
2	1.7%	3.4%	3.4%	2.2%	1.1%
3	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Montrose	Draw	Hamilton Academical
Montrose	6.5%	3.3%	2.4%
Draw	4.4%	14.6%	20.5%
Hamilton Academical	0.6%	2.9%	44.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Montrose vs Hamilton Academical

0 Montrose Wins

1 Draws

0 Hamilton Academical Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Hamilton Academical	1 - 1	Montrose

Montrose — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Formartine United	L	3 - 2
19 Sep	A East Fife	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Cove Rangers	W	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Dundee II	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A Peterhead	W	0 - 3

Hamilton Academical — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Cowdenbeath	W	1 - 0
19 Sep	H Queen of the South	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Spartans	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A East Kilbride	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Cove Rangers	W	1 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ross County	7	6	1	0	22	4	+18	19
2	Hamilton Academical	7	6	1	0	16	1	+15	19
3	Montrose	8	5	0	3	13	13	0	15
4	East Kilbride	8	4	1	3	14	12	+2	13
5	Alloa Athletic	8	2	3	3	8	6	+2	9
6	Airdrie United	8	2	3	3	6	11	-5	9
7	East Fife	8	1	5	2	7	7	0	8
8	Peterhead	8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7
9	Cove Rangers	8	1	2	5	5	11	-6	5
10	Queen of the South	8	1	1	6	6	24	-18	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.