Inverness CT vs Dunfermline Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Dunfermline

Away

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness

AI call Difficult Inverness CT win or draw

53%

25%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Inverness CT vs Dunfermline prediction: Sportiko gives Inverness CT a 53% chance of winning, Dunfermline 22% and the draw 25%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:51.

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Over 1.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Graeme Shinnie Yellow Card

18' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 65'

⇄ 66'

⇄ 74'

74' ⇄

77' ⇄

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

FT 0–0

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Inverness CT win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.9%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Inverness CT

DWLLD

Dunfermline

WWDWL

Last 3 meetings Inverness CT · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

Inverness CT faces Dunfermline in a Championship clash that promises to be competitive. Historically, Inverness has shown strong defensive capabilities, ranking among the top teams for goals conceded in previous seasons, while Dunfermline has been known for their attacking prowess, finishing in the top half for goals scored. Analyzing their recent form, both teams have had mixed results, with Inverness seeking to leverage their defensive structure against Dunfermline's offensive strategy. Key player performances, particularly in midfield, will likely dictate the match's tempo. Set pieces could play a crucial role, given both teams' past effectiveness in these situations.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dunfermline goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	15	8	1
2	18	8	2
3	13	6	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Inverness CT goals · most likely 2–0 (17.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.1%	7.8%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.9%	7.7%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.3%	5.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.4%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inverness CT	Draw	Dunfermline
Inverness CT	54.2%	1.7%	0.2%
Draw	22.7%	12.1%	2.1%
Dunfermline	1.9%	2.1%	3.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inverness CT vs Dunfermline

0 Inverness CT Wins

3 Draws

0 Dunfermline Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2012	Inverness CT	0 - 0	Dunfermline
18 Feb 2012	Dunfermline	1 - 1	Inverness CT
22 Oct 2011	Inverness CT	1 - 1	Dunfermline

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Inverness CT — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Livingston	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Ayr Utd	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Raith Rovers	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Stenhousemuir	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Partick	D	1 - 1

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Morton	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Queen's Park	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Arbroath	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Raith Rovers	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Livingston	L	2 - 0

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.