Ayr Utd vs Arbroath Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Arbroath

Away

Somerset Park, Ayr

AI call Difficult Ayr Utd win or draw

51%

27%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ayr Utd vs Arbroath prediction: Sportiko gives Ayr Utd a 51% chance of winning, Arbroath 22% and the draw 27%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:48.

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Home or Away 73%

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Timeline

14' ⇄

44' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

54' ⇄

⇄ 65'

75' ⇄

79' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 79'

⇄ 86'

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Ayr Utd win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.8%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Arbroath

LLDWW

Last 1 meetings Ayr Utd · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Ayr Utd faces Arbroath in a Championship clash on August 1st. Ayr Utd has shown a solid home record, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Arbroath, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match in recent fixtures. This matchup could hinge on Ayr's ability to exploit defensive lapses, while Arbroath will need to tighten their backline to secure a positive result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arbroath goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3	1
1	18	9	2
2	18	8	2
3	11	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Ayr Utd goals · most likely 2–0 (17.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	3.2%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
1	17.6%	9.1%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.8%	7.7%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
3	11.3%	4.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	5.4%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ayr Utd	Draw	Arbroath
Ayr Utd	52.4%	2.6%	0.4%
Draw	19.5%	15.5%	3.3%
Arbroath	1.2%	1.9%	3.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ayr Utd vs Arbroath

0 Ayr Utd Wins

1 Draws

0 Arbroath Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Mar 2026	Arbroath	1 - 1	Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Arbroath — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Raith Rovers	L	4 - 0
05 Sep	H Dunfermline	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Livingston	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Morton	W	1 - 2

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.