Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Unia Skierniewice

Away

AI call Difficult Polonia Warszawa win or draw

62%

23%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice prediction: Sportiko gives Polonia Warszawa a 62% chance of winning, Unia Skierniewice 15% and the draw 23%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:37.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 36'

▮ 40'

Red Card

HT 0–1

Penalty

54' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 64'

75' ⇄

▮ 77'

Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

83' ⇄

⇄ 87'

⇄ 88'

89' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 90+2'

Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

90+7' ⇄

▮ 90+8'

Yellow Card

90+9' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Polonia Warszawa win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.8%

Both teams to score

28%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Polonia Warszawa

WDLWL

Unia Skierniewice

DWLLW

Match summary

Polonia Warszawa faces Unia Skierniewice in an I Liga match, with both teams showcasing varying forms leading into this fixture. Polonia has a stronger attack, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Unia struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. Historical data indicates Polonia has a favorable record against Unia, winning 60% of their last five encounters. Set pieces could be pivotal, as Polonia has scored 25% of their goals from set plays. Expect a competitive match, but Polonia's offensive capabilities may give them the edge.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

62%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Unia Skierniewice goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	3	1
1	18	8	1
2	19	7	1
3	12	5	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Polonia Warszawa goals · most likely 2–0 (18.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

23%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

23%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.0%	8.1%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.8%	7.2%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.5%	4.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.2%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Polonia Warszawa	Draw	Unia Skierniewice
Polonia Warszawa	51.2%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	23.5%	14.6%	2.7%
Unia Skierniewice	1.4%	1.8%	2.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

68%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Polonia Warszawa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chrobry Głogów	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	H Polonia Bytom	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Stal Rzeszów	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	A Górnik Polkowice	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Lechia Gdansk	L	2 - 4

Unia Skierniewice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Podbeskidzie	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Ruch Chorzów	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Stal Rzeszów	L	0 - 1
23 Aug	A Puszcza Niepołomice	W	0 - 1

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6