Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Nieciecza

Away

Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

AI call Difficult Nieciecza win or draw

22%

26%

52%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza prediction: Sportiko gives Pogoń Siedlce a 22% chance of winning, Nieciecza 52% and the draw 26%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:34.

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Over 1.5 Goals 73%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

12' ▮

45+2' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 55'

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

64' ⇄

⇄ 65'

75' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 77'

▮ 80'

Yellow Card

81' ▮

81' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 88'

⇄ 90'

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

⇄ 90+1'

Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 1–2

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Nieciecza win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Pogoń Siedlce

WDWWL

Nieciecza

WWWWD

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga clash, Pogoń Siedlce will face Nieciecza. Pogoń has shown a strong offensive record in recent matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while Nieciecza has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Both teams will look to secure vital points early in the season. Key players for Pogoń include their leading scorer, who has netted 4 goals in the last 5 matches, while Nieciecza will rely on their midfield to create scoring opportunities. Given the current form, Pogoń appears to have the upper hand.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nieciecza goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	14	15	10	5	2
1	4	11	9	6	3	1
2	1	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Pogoń Siedlce goals · most likely 0–2 (15.0%)

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

26%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

26%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	14.4%	15.1%	9.7%	4.7%
1	3.6%	10.6%	9.0%	5.8%	2.8%
2	1.5%	2.8%	2.7%	1.7%	0.8%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pogoń Siedlce	Draw	Nieciecza
Pogoń Siedlce	4.8%	2.8%	2.3%
Draw	4.7%	15.6%	24.7%
Nieciecza	0.6%	2.8%	42.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Pogoń Siedlce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Arka Gdynia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Chrobry Głogów	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Kluczevia Stargard	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H Stal Mielec	W	2 - 0
21 Aug	A Lechia Gdansk	L	1 - 0

Nieciecza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Odra Opole	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Stal Mielec	W	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Lechia Gdansk	W	2 - 1
01 Sep	A Wigry Suwałki	W	1 - 5
28 Aug	A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	D	2 - 2

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6