Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge Prediction

Challenge League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Étoile Carouge

Away

Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains

AI call Étoile Carouge or draw

34%

21%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge prediction: Sportiko gives Yverdon Sport a 34% chance of winning, Étoile Carouge 45% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 19:20.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Draw/Away & Over 1.5 70%

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Timeline

15' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 42'

HT 1–1

54' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Yellow Card

70' ▮

74' ⇄

▮ 75'

Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

86' ⇄

⇄ 89'

▮ 90+4'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean

Étoile Carouge or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 18.6%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Yverdon Sport

DLWWD

Étoile Carouge

LLDLW

Match summary

Yverdon Sport faces Étoile Carouge in a Challenge League matchup that promises to be competitive. Yverdon's recent form shows a solid home performance, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last five games. In contrast, Étoile Carouge has struggled defensively, conceding 2.1 goals per game in the same period. The match could hinge on Yverdon's ability to capitalize on Carouge's defensive frailties while maintaining their own defensive stability. Key players to watch include Yverdon’s top scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent successes, and Carouge’s leading playmaker, whose creativity could pose a threat.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Étoile Carouge goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	16	19	14	7	3
1	2	8	7	5	3	1
2	1	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Yverdon Sport goals · most likely 0–2 (18.6%)

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Home Win

34%

Draw

21%

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Home Win

34%

Draw

21%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	16.2%	18.6%	13.5%	7.4%
1	2.2%	7.5%	7.3%	5.3%	2.9%
2	0.6%	1.3%	1.4%	1.0%	0.6%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Yverdon Sport	Draw	Étoile Carouge
Yverdon Sport	2.4%	1.8%	1.6%
Draw	2.3%	12.6%	23.7%
Étoile Carouge	0.2%	1.8%	53.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

68%

26%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Yverdon Sport — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	A Rapperswil	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Stade Nyonnais	W	4 - 1
01 Sep	A Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	1 - 2
28 Aug	H FC WIL 1900	D	1 - 1

Étoile Carouge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SC Kriens	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	H FC Winterthur	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	L	3 - 0
28 Aug	H Rapperswil	W	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.