FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Naftan

Away

AI call Difficult FC Dnepr Mogilev win or draw

55%

27%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan prediction: Sportiko gives FC Dnepr Mogilev a 55% chance of winning, Naftan 19% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 16:51.

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Over 1.5 Goals 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

▮ 7'

Yellow Card

15' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 27'

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

⇄ 50'

Penalty

56' ⚽ 2–1

Yellow Card

62' ▮

⚽ 2–2 63'

63' ⇄

Yellow Card

66' ▮

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

73' ⚽ 3–2

76' ⇄

Yellow Card

78' ▮

⇄ 80'

89' ⇄

⚽ 3–3 90+1'

FT 3–3

FC Dnepr Mogilev

Match Stats

Naftan

58% Ball Possession 42%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

4 Shots on Goal 4

2 Shots off Goal 2

1 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 4

14 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult FC Dnepr Mogilev win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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FC Dnepr Mogilev

LDWWW

Naftan

WDWLD

Last 1 meetings FC Dnepr Mogilev · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

FC Dnepr Mogilev faces Naftan in the Premier League, with both teams looking for vital points to improve their standings. Dnepr Mogilev's recent form shows a slight edge, with a 60% win rate in their last five matches, while Naftan has struggled, securing only one win during the same period. Key players for Dnepr Mogilev include their top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, while Naftan will rely on their defense, which has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game. The match will be crucial for both teams as they aim for a stronger league position.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Naftan goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Dnepr Mogilev goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	5.0%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.6%	12.7%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.4%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	6.6%	5.7%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.9%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Dnepr Mogilev	Draw	Naftan
FC Dnepr Mogilev	42.1%	5.2%	1.5%
Draw	14.5%	16.7%	8.0%
Naftan	1.3%	2.6%	8.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan

0 FC Dnepr Mogilev Wins

1 Draws

0 Naftan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Naftan	0 - 0	FC Dnepr Mogilev

FC Dnepr Mogilev — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Slavia Mozyr	L	3 - 0
31 Jul	H Naftan	D	3 - 3
25 Jul	A Torpedo Zhodino	W	1 - 2
10 Jul	H FC Minsk	W	1 - 0
28 Jun	H Neman	W	2 - 0

Naftan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
31 Jul	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	3 - 3
19 Jul	A Orsha	W	0 - 2
03 Jul	H Dinamo Brest	L	2 - 4
22 Mar	H FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Minsk	14	10	3	1	26	12	+14	33
2	ML Vitebsk	14	9	4	1	30	13	+17	31
3	FC Isloch Minsk R.	15	9	4	2	28	13	+15	31
4	Dinamo Brest	16	8	3	5	28	15	+13	27
5	FC Gomel	16	7	5	4	21	14	+7	26
6	FC Minsk	16	7	4	5	23	21	+2	25
7	Torpedo Zhodino	15	6	5	4	23	13	+10	23
8	FC Vitebsk	16	6	5	5	17	16	+1	23
9	Arsenal	17	5	6	6	19	26	-7	21
10	Neman	15	6	3	6	16	15	+1	21
11	Slavia Mozyr	16	4	6	6	17	22	-5	18
12	Baranovichi	16	4	4	8	18	30	-12	16
13	FC Dnepr Mogilev	17	2	6	9	15	28	-13	12
14	Belshina	15	3	2	10	13	30	-17	11
15	Naftan	16	2	4	10	16	34	-18	10
16	Bate Borisov	14	1	6	7	9	17	-8	9

FC Dnepr Mogilev

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Stanislav Suvorov

77 Hushchanka

32 Mikhalenko

15 Kasarab

23 Dunaev

89 Harutyunyan

8 Rusak

55 Krasnov

66 Tereshchuk

37 Tsepenkov

88 Kirilenko

21 Karpitsky

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Dzmitry Hushchanka	G
89	Vadim Harutyunyan	M
23	Alexey Dunaev	D
15	Maksim Kasarab	D
32	Aleksandr Mikhalenko	D
55	Nikita Krasnov	M
8	Sergey Rusak	M
88	Kirill Kirilenko	F
37	Kirill Tsepenkov	M
66	Nikita Tereshchuk	F
21	Egor Karpitsky	F

Substitutes

10	Kiryl Zabelin	M
22	Nikita Sednev	G
5	Artem Varganov	D
26	Fedor Yurkevich	D
17	Andrey Potapenko	M
29	Andrey Denisyuk	F
7	Muzaffar Gurbanov	F
27	Roman Piletskiy	F
99	Vladislav Stepanenko	F

Naftan

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Aleksandr Khrapkovski

13 Kharitonovich

5 Lebedev

88 Drabatovich

42 John

9 Yakovlev

50 Mafwenta

24 Seleznev

6 Adamovich

10 Savitskiy

94 Voskoboynikov

11 Pranovich

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Aleksey Kharitonovich	G
42	Jonathan John	D
88	Artem Drabatovich	D
5	Andrei Lebedev	D
10	Aleksandr Savitskiy	M
6	Kirill Adamovich	M
24	Ilya Seleznev	M
50	Golden Mafwenta	M
9	Vadim Yakovlev	M
11	Ignat Pranovich	M
94	Artem Voskoboynikov	F

Substitutes

30	Marlen Aimanov	F
4	Shakhzod Abrorov	D
71	Aleksandr Naumovich	G
21	Kirill Kirkitskiy	M
22	Vladislav Fezhenko	M
25	Matvey Susha	F
14	Ivan Chmut	F