Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Ruch Chorzów

Away

AI call Too close to call

35%

28%

37%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów prediction: Sportiko gives Nieciecza a 35% chance of winning, Ruch Chorzów 37% and the draw 28%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 14:26.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

47' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

65' ⇄

⇄ 65'

66' ⚽ 2–0

70' ⇄

⇄ 81'

86' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

▮ 90+6'

Yellow Card

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Nieciecza

WWWWD

Ruch Chorzów

DDWWL

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga match, Nieciecza will face Ruch Chorzów. Nieciecza has shown solid form at home, capitalizing on their offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per game in their recent fixtures. Ruch Chorzów, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in away matches. This could be a pivotal factor, as Nieciecza looks to leverage their attacking strength against a vulnerable Ruch defense. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams eager to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ruch Chorzów goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	9	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Nieciecza goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	11.1%	9.4%	4.7%	1.8%
1	6.7%	14.0%	9.3%	4.6%	1.7%
2	4.1%	6.1%	4.5%	2.3%	0.8%
3	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nieciecza	Draw	Ruch Chorzów
Nieciecza	13.2%	4.2%	2.2%
Draw	9.6%	19.0%	17.4%
Ruch Chorzów	1.3%	4.2%	29.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Nieciecza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Odra Opole	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Stal Mielec	W	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Lechia Gdansk	W	2 - 1
01 Sep	A Wigry Suwałki	W	1 - 5
28 Aug	A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	D	2 - 2

Ruch Chorzów — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Polonia Bytom	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Podbeskidzie	D	3 - 3
07 Sep	H Unia Skierniewice	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Lechia Zielona Góra	W	0 - 2
30 Aug	A Chrobry Głogów	L	2 - 0

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.