Jonava vs Garliava Prediction

1 Lyga · Regular Season - 17

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Garliava

Away

AI call Garliava or draw

27%

28%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Jonava vs Garliava prediction: Sportiko gives Jonava a 27% chance of winning, Garliava 44% and the draw 28%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 18:00.

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Timeline

HT 0–0

81' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 86'

Red Card

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Garliava or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Jonava

LWWWW

Garliava

LLLLL

Last 1 meetings Jonava · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming 1 Lyga match, Jonava faces Garliava, both vying for crucial points in the league standings. Jonava has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Garliava has struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per match on the road. Key players for Jonava will be essential to exploit Garliava's weaknesses, particularly in transition. Conversely, Garliava will need to tighten their defense and enhance their midfield control to challenge Jonava effectively. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their positions in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

44%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Garliava goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	15	11	5	2
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	3	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Jonava goals · most likely 0–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Jonava

No scorer data.

Garliava

Martin Genskowski 1 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

28%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

28%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.1%	15.3%	11.4%	5.1%	1.7%
1	7.5%	14.0%	8.3%	3.8%	1.3%
2	3.3%	4.5%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
3	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jonava	Draw	Garliava
Jonava	10.3%	3.3%	1.3%
Draw	8.3%	21.9%	16.3%
Garliava	0.9%	4.1%	33.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Jonava vs Garliava

0 Jonava Wins

0 Draws

1 Garliava Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Garliava	1 - 0	Jonava

Jonava — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Ekranas	L	1 - 2
31 Jul	A Be1 NFA	W	0 - 2
25 Jul	H Garliava	W	1 - 0
21 Jun	A Žalgiris II	W	1 - 2
21 Mar	A Ekranas	W	1 - 2

Garliava — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Hegelmann II	L	3 - 1
01 Aug	H Neptūną Klaipėda	L	0 - 1
25 Jul	A Jonava	L	1 - 0
26 Jun	H Minija	L	0 - 1
08 Jun	A Dainava	L	1 - 0

1 Lyga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Babrungas	18	15	3	0	31	4	+27	48
2	Minija	18	15	1	2	45	11	+34	46
3	Tauras	18	11	2	5	35	20	+15	35
4	Neptūną Klaipėda	18	11	2	5	25	20	+5	35
5	Be1 NFA	17	10	2	5	29	20	+9	32
6	Dainava	17	9	4	4	30	17	+13	31
7	BFA	18	9	1	8	25	27	-2	28
8	Žalgiris II	18	7	4	7	25	26	-1	25
9	Atmosfera	17	7	3	7	28	21	+7	24
10	Jonava	19	6	5	8	23	24	-1	23
11	Garliava	18	6	4	8	23	19	+4	22
12	Hegelmann II	19	5	1	13	20	43	-23	16
13	Transinvest 2	18	4	3	11	16	42	-26	15
14	Ekranas	19	3	2	14	19	37	-18	11
15	Kauno Žalgiris II	18	3	1	14	12	31	-19	10
16	FA Šiauliai II	18	2	4	12	16	40	-24	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.