Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Bregalnica Štip

Away

AI call Vardar Skopje to win or draw

72%

18%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip prediction: Sportiko gives Vardar Skopje a 72% chance of winning, Bregalnica Štip 10% and the draw 18%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 16:56.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%

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Timeline

27' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

35' ▮

▮ 45'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 55'

58' ⇄

⇄ 64'

▮ 65'

Yellow Card

▮ 71'

Yellow Card

81' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

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Confidence High (72%)

At a glance

Our lean

Vardar Skopje to win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Vardar Skopje

WDWWD

Bregalnica Štip

WDWLL

Match summary

In the upcoming First League match, Vardar Skopje faces Bregalnica Štip. Vardar has demonstrated a strong offensive capability, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded 1.3 goals per match. Bregalnica, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a solid midfield, controlling possession around 55% in recent fixtures. However, their inconsistency in finishing has led to an average of 1.0 goals scored per match. This match will likely hinge on Vardar's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against Bregalnica's midfield stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bregalnica Štip goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	10	10	5	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Vardar Skopje goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

18%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

18%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.0%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.8%	13.6%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.8%	9.5%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
3	5.2%	5.1%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.1%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Vardar Skopje	Draw	Bregalnica Štip
Vardar Skopje	29.0%	3.7%	1.2%
Draw	19.7%	18.1%	8.8%
Bregalnica Štip	2.7%	4.4%	12.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Vardar Skopje — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Shkëndija Haraçinë	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Bashkimi Kumanovo	D	3 - 3
07 Sep	H Aresimi	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	A Ovce Pole	W	0 - 5
31 Aug	A Tikveš	D	1 - 1

Bregalnica Štip — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Skopje	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	A Sileks	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Teteks	W	1 - 4
04 Sep	H Shkëndija Haraçinë	L	0 - 1
28 Aug	A Struga	L	4 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	20	8	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	19	5	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	14	8	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	17	7	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	6	9	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	11	13	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	13	10	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	6	19	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	7	25	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.