Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 1

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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Away

AI call Lechia Gdansk or draw

49%

24%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction: Sportiko gives Lechia Gdansk a 49% chance of winning, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 27% and the draw 24%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 15:22.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

8' ▮

⚽ 0–1 38'

⇄ 43'

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 61'

65' ⇄

⇄ 73'

⚽ 0–3 77'

⇄ 87'

88' ⇄

FT 0–3

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Lechia Gdansk or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Lechia Gdansk

WWLWW

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

WLWLD

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga match, Lechia Gdansk faces Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki. Lechia has a solid home record, while Pogoń will aim to capitalize on their recent form, which has shown improvement. Key players to watch include Lechia's top scorer, who has consistently contributed to their offense, and Pogoń's defense, which has been tested against stronger opposition this season. The match could be closely contested, with both teams looking to secure vital points as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	3	1
1	14	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	12	6	2
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Lechia Gdansk goals · most likely 2–0 (16.7%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

27%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

27%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.4%	8.7%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	16.7%	8.4%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%
3	12.1%	6.0%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
4	6.6%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lechia Gdansk	Draw	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Lechia Gdansk	52.5%	2.2%	0.3%
Draw	21.7%	12.9%	2.8%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.9%	2.3%	3.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

61%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lechia Gdansk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Stal Mielec	W	7 - 1
13 Sep	H Miedz Legnica	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Nieciecza	L	2 - 1
01 Sep	A Kluczbork	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Polonia Warszawa	W	2 - 4

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Unia Skierniewice	L	3 - 2
04 Sep	H Warta Poznań	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Podhale Nowy Targ	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Nieciecza	D	2 - 2

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.