Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers Prediction
FT
Oriel Park, Dundalk
AI call
Dundalk to win or draw
71%
19%
10%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Dundalk a 71% chance of winning, Sligo Rovers 10% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 20:41.
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Timeline
▮
9'
Luke Pearce
Yellow Card
⇄
36'
Luke Pearce
⇄ S. Quirk
HT 0–0
Daryl Horgan
assist: Harry Groome
53'
⚽
1–0
⇄
63'
James McManus
⇄ Daire Patton
Harry Groome
⇄ Tom Grivosti
63'
⇄
⇄
64'
Jack Shorrock
⇄ Trey George
▮
66'
Carl McHugh
Yellow Card
T. Clarke
⇄ Declan McDaid
71'
⇄
Keith Buckley
⇄ Leonardo Gaxha
71'
⇄
▮
73'
Jeannot Esua
Yellow Card
⇄
81'
Sean Stewart
Cian Dillon
⇄ Egor Vassenin
87'
⇄
Robert Cornwall
Yellow Card
90'
▮
⚽
1–1
90+1'
Gareth McElroy
FT 1–1
Dundalk
Match Stats
Sligo Rovers
61%
Ball Possession
39%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
28
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
3
12
Shots off Goal
1
10
Blocked Shots
2
16
Shots insidebox
6
12
Shots outsidebox
0
10
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
449
Total passes
294
336
Passes accurate
166
75%
Passes %
56%
1.09
goals_prevented
1.09
Dundalk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Daryl Horgan M | 8.9 | 95' | 1 | – | 2 | 35 (28%) | – |
| 1 Enda Minogue G | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 33 (14%) | – |
| 3 Bobby Burns D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 4 | 46 (35%) | 3 |
| 18 Keith Buckley M | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 54 (45%) | – |
| 4 M. Animasahun D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 3 |
| 6 Aodh Dervin M | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 61 (52%) | 2 |
| 11 Ronan Teahan D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 35 (27%) | 2 |
| 44 Tom Grivosti D | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 27 Declan McDaid M | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 24 Robert Cornwall D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 49 (41%) | – |
| 10 Leonardo Gaxha F | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 16 Egor Vassenin D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 15 T. Clarke M | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 9 Cian Dillon F | 6.0 | 87' | – | – | 4 | 14 (8%) | – |
| 8 Harry Groome M | 5.9 | 63' | – | 1 | 2 | 19 (8%) | – |
Sligo Rovers
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Gareth McElroy D | 8.6 | 95' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (18%) | 4 |
| 16 Carl McHugh M | 8.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 38 (16%) | 4 |
| 29 Sam Sargeant G | 8.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 49 (26%) | – |
| 33 Jeannot Esua D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 23 (12%) | 3 |
| 11 Cian Kavanagh F | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 19 (9%) | 1 |
| 15 Oliver Denham D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 42 (30%) | 1 |
| 3 Sean Stewart D | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 16 (8%) | 3 |
| 7 Jack Shorrock M | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 Trey George M | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 9 Luke Pearce M | 6.7 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 4 S. Quirk M | 6.6 | 59' | – | – | – | 17 (9%) | 1 |
| 71 Daire Patton M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | – |
| 14 James McManus M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 23 Kyle McDonagh M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 18 Jamie McGonigle F | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
High (71%)
At a glance
Our lean
Dundalk to win or draw
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Dundalk
WLDLL
Sligo Rovers
DLDLL
Last 2 meetings
Dundalk · 1W 1D 0L
Match summary
Dundalk faces Sligo Rovers in this Premier Division clash, with both teams vying for crucial points. Dundalk has shown solid form at home, consistently scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per game. Sligo Rovers, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net away from home, averaging just 1 goal per game. Key battles in midfield and defensive organization will likely determine the outcome, but Dundalk's home scoring prowess gives them the edge in this matchup.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Dundalk
D. Horgan
12 gls
G. Arubi
7 gls
Sligo Rovers
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1
Dundalk Wins
1
Draws
0
Sligo Rovers Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Sligo Rovers | 1 - 1 | Dundalk |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Dundalk | 1 - 0 | Sligo Rovers |
Dundalk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | H Shamrock Rovers | W | 3 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | A Derry City | L | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Sligo Rovers | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Oct | H Bohemians | L | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Sep | H Shelbourne | L | 2 - 3 |
Sligo Rovers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | H Derry City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 23 Oct | A Shamrock Rovers | L | 4 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Dundalk | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Oct | A Shelbourne | L | 5 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H St Patrick's Athl. | L | 0 - 1 |
Premier Division Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 38 | +21 | 68 |
| 2 |
Bohemians
|
36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 44 | +19 | 65 |
| 3 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 31 | +24 | 60 |
| 4 |
Shelbourne
|
36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 49 |
| 5 |
Derry City
|
36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 48 |
| 6 |
Dundalk
|
36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Waterford
|
36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 |
Galway United
|
36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 9 |
Drogheda United
|
36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 40 |
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
|
36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 25 |
Dundalk
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
1
Minogue
11
Teahan
24
Cornwall
4
Animasahun
3
Burns
6
Dervin
18
Buckley
7
Horgan
8
Groome
15
Clarke
9
Dillon
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enda Minogue | G |
| 3 | Bobby Burns | D |
| 4 | Mayowa Animasahun | D |
| 24 | Robert Cornwall | D |
| 11 | Ronan Teahan | D |
| 18 | Keith Buckley | M |
| 6 | Aodh Dervin | M |
| 15 | Trevor Clarke | M |
| 8 | Harry Groome | M |
| 7 | Daryl Horgan | M |
| 9 | Cian Dillon | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | Tom Grivosti | D |
| 27 | Declan McDaid | M |
| 10 | Leonardo Gaxha | F |
| 16 | Egor Vassenin | D |
| 20 | Samuel Safaei | G |
| 13 | Peter Cherrie | G |
| 12 | Luke Mulligan | D |
| 19 | Sean Spaight | D |
| 25 | Shay Casey | M |
Sligo Rovers
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Darren Purse
29
Sargeant
3
Stewart
52
McElroy
15
Denham
33
Esua
7
Shorrock
16
McHugh
14
McManus
9
Pearce
18
McGonigle
11
Kavanagh
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Sam Sargeant | G |
| 33 | Jeannot Esua | D |
| 15 | Oliver Denham | D |
| 52 | Gareth McElroy | D |
| 3 | Sean Stewart | D |
| 9 | Luke Pearce | M |
| 14 | James McManus | M |
| 16 | Carl McHugh | M |
| 7 | Jack Shorrock | M |
| 11 | Cian Kavanagh | F |
| 18 | Jamie McGonigle | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Seb Quirk | M |
| 71 | Daire Patton | M |
| 20 | Trey George | M |
| 23 | Kyle McDonagh | M |
| 1 | Liam Hughes | G |
| 19 | Alex Nolan | M |
| 61 | Conor Cannon | D |
| 28 | Ryan O'Kane | F |
| 24 | Jamie O’Donnell | F |