CSKA 1948 vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Arda Kardzhali

Away

AI call CSKA 1948 or draw

43%

30%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

CSKA 1948 vs Arda Kardzhali prediction: Sportiko gives CSKA 1948 a 43% chance of winning, Arda Kardzhali 27% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 20:15.

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Home to Score 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 72%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%

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Timeline

6' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 22'

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

Yellow Card

50' ▮

57' ⚽ 2–1

58' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Red Card

67' ▮

68' ⇄

⇄ 74'

⇄ 78'

🖵 90+6'

Goal Disallowed - video review

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

CSKA 1948 or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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CSKA 1948

WWLWL

Arda Kardzhali

DLLWW

Match summary

CSKA 1948 faces Arda Kardzhali in a First League matchup on July 31, 2026. CSKA 1948 has shown solid form, particularly in their defensive organization, allowing an average of just 1.1 goals per game this season. In contrast, Arda Kardzhali's attack has been inconsistent, with a goal conversion rate of only 12% in their last five matches. This clash will likely hinge on CSKA 1948's ability to exploit any defensive lapses from Arda while maintaining a strong defensive line. Key players to watch include CSKA’s top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Arda's midfield playmaker, who has contributed significantly to their build-up play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

27%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arda Kardzhali goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ CSKA 1948 goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

CSKA 1948

Frédéric Maciel 1 gls

Arda Kardzhali

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	7.8%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
1	11.1%	14.6%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.7%	8.8%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.9%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CSKA 1948	Draw	Arda Kardzhali
CSKA 1948	23.1%	3.8%	1.4%
Draw	18.7%	20.3%	11.2%
Arda Kardzhali	2.4%	4.5%	14.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CSKA 1948 vs Arda Kardzhali

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

CSKA 1948 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Slavia Sofia	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Dunav Ruse	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Levski Sofia	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A Septemvri Sofia	L	1 - 0

Arda Kardzhali — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cherno More Varna	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A CSKA Sofia	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 3
31 Aug	H Botev Vratsa	W	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	0 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

CSKA 1948

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Yuriy Vasev

1 Marinov

15 Soltani

70 Iliev

4 Hoffmann

96 Grivić

34 Vitanov

23 Krebs

10 Tsonev

11 Rusev

71 Tarasenko

93 Diallo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Petar Marinov	G
96	Dragan Grivić	D
4	Andre Hoffmann	D
70	Kostadin Iliev	D
15	Fourat Soltani	D
23	Florian Krebs	M
34	Petar Vitanov	M
71	Danylo Tarasenko	F
11	Georgi Rusev	M
10	Borislav Tsonev	M
93	Mamadou Diallo	F

Substitutes

76	Elias Franco	M
67	Frédéric Maciel	M
30	Jules Meyer	M
9	Atanas Iliev	F
13	Dimitar Sheytanov	G
6	Egor Parkhomenko	D
19	Marto Boychev	M
33	Héctor Cuellar	M
20	Brian Sobrero	M
14	Kaloyan Strinski	M
17	José Martínez	F

Arda Kardzhali

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander

1 Gospodinov

35 Velkovski

5 Lyubenov

44 Traoré

21 Velev

4 Akintola

80 Kotev

99 Karagaren

39 Vutov

10 Kovachev

16 Bachev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anatoli Gospodinov	G
21	Vyacheslav Velev	D
44	Adama Ardile Traoré	D
5	Viktor Lyubenov	D
35	Dimitar Velkovski	D
80	Lachezar Kotev	M
4	Idowu David Akintola	M
10	Svetoslav Kovachev	M
39	Antonio Vutov	M
99	Birsent Karagaren	M
16	Preslav Bachev	F

Substitutes

22	Yanko Georgiev	G
24	Martin Paskalev	D
6	Viktor Popov	D
18	Simeon Vasilev	D
26	Burak Akandzha	M
11	Atanas Kabov	M
8	Dominik Yankov	M
9	Georgi Nikolov	F