Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Dinamo Tirana

Home

3 : 0

HT 2 - 0

1st leg 1-1 · Aggregate 4-1

Aluminij

Away

AI call Difficult Dinamo Tirana win or draw

53%

27%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij prediction: Sportiko gives Dinamo Tirana a 53% chance of winning, Aluminij 20% and the draw 27%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 20:56.

Timeline

▮ 11'

Yellow Card

16' ▮

24' ⚽ 1–0

43' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

▮ 59'

Yellow Card

⇄ 60'

Yellow Card

61' ▮

Yellow Card

72' ▮

Yellow Card

73' ▮

Yellow Card

74' ▮

78' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 78'

79' ⇄

Yellow Card

81' ▮

81' ⇄

84' ⇄

⇄ 86'

FT 3–0

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Dinamo Tirana win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Dinamo Tirana

WWWWL

Aluminij

DWDLL

Last 1 meetings Dinamo Tirana · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Dinamo Tirana faces Aluminij in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams aiming to secure an early advantage in the group stage. Dinamo's recent form has shown a strong offensive output, averaging 2 goals per match in their last five outings, while Aluminij has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game in the same period. Key players to watch include Dinamo's leading scorer, who has netted 5 goals in the last 4 matches, and Aluminij's goalkeeper, who will need to step up to contain the attacking threat. This match could hinge on Dinamo's ability to capitalize on their offensive prowess against Aluminij's shaky defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aluminij goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	3	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Dinamo Tirana goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	6.8%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.7%	13.8%	4.9%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.2%	8.9%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	5.4%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dinamo Tirana	Draw	Aluminij
Dinamo Tirana	33.5%	4.5%	1.3%
Draw	17.3%	20.2%	9.2%
Aluminij	1.5%	3.1%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij

0 Dinamo Tirana Wins

1 Draws

0 Aluminij Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Aluminij	1 - 1	Dinamo Tirana

Dinamo Tirana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Laci	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Partizani	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H AF Elbasani	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Skenderbeu Korce	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	A Pafos	L	4 - 2

Aluminij — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maribor	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Mura	W	1 - 6
05 Sep	H Bravo	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Celje	L	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Koper	L	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Dinamo Tirana

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ilir Daja

77 Teqja

13 Perndreca

27 Aliji

22 Dita

2 Ismaili

8 Qardaku

28 Manellari

20 Ayodeji

29 Berisha

21 Qefalija

10 Vila

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Aldo Teqja	G
2	Ysni Ismaili	D
22	Bruno Dita	D
27	Naser Aliji	D
13	Fabjan Perndreca	D
20	Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji	M
28	Isi Manellari	M
8	Eridon Qardaku	M
10	Lorenco Vila	M
21	Klevi Qefalija	M
29	Hekuran Berisha	F

Substitutes

1	Edmir Sali	G
97	Tomas Kiri	G
5	Erion Hoxhallari	D
47	Lorran	D
16	Noel Bleta	M
88	Flamur Ruci	M
33	David Fadairo	M
11	Ruben Silva-Richards	F
24	Florenc Ferruku	F
18	Dejvi Metaj	F
45	Bright Aniekan James	F

Aluminij

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Jure Arsic

31 Raduha

32 Težak

5 Boben

4 Schaubach

42 Koderman

7 Taylor

14 Jagić

13 Vrbanec

80 Sørensen

44 Petriško

45 Susso

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Florijan Raduha	G
4	Rok Schaubach	D
5	Matija Boben	D
32	Vito Težak	D
80	Hanus Sørensen	D
13	Matic Vrbanec	M
14	Tomislav Jagić	M
7	Eric Taylor	M
42	Vid Koderman	M
45	Bamba Susso	F
44	Petar Petriško	M

Substitutes

25	Murat Bajraj	F
9	Adriano Bloudek	F
1	Anej Mrežar	G
66	Lukas Tomažič	G
6	Dino Šimunić	D
3	Domen Zajšek	D
21	Lan Drevenšek	D
18	Simon Rogina	M
11	Bede Amarachi Osuji	M
23	Enej Kramberger	M
27	Maj Blažič	M
24	Tai Luka Modric	F