Hibernian vs Malisheva Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Hibernian

Home

4 : 1

HT 3 - 0

1st leg 0-2 · Aggregate 4-3

Malisheva

Away

AI call Hibernian to win or draw

70%

19%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hibernian vs Malisheva prediction: Sportiko gives Hibernian a 70% chance of winning, Malisheva 12% and the draw 19%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 20:55.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Owen Elding assist: Martin Boyle

9' ⚽ 1–0

Felix Passlack

15' ⚽ 2–0

Martin Boyle Yellow Card

22' ▮

Yellow Card

31' ▮

⇄ 34'

assist: Owen Elding

35' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Martin Boyle

57' ⚽ 4–0

Martin Boyle ⇄ Joe Newell

62' ⇄

⇄ Christopher Cadden

62' ⇄

⇄ 66'

78' ⇄

⚽ 4–1 83'

Yellow Card

85' ▮

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

FT 4–1

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Confidence Medium (70%)

At a glance

Our lean

Hibernian to win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Hibernian

DLWLL

Malisheva

WWLWW

Last 1 meetings Hibernian · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League match, Hibernian faces Malisheva. Hibernian's last five matches show a solid form with a 60% win rate, while Malisheva has struggled, recording only a 20% win rate in their recent games. The teams’ defensive records highlight Hibernian’s stronger backline, conceding an average of 1 goal per match compared to Malisheva’s 2.5 goals per match. If Hibernian can maintain their attacking efficiency, they are likely to secure a victory in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

70%

10%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

12%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malisheva goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Hibernian goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	6.9%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	10.0%	14.1%	6.8%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.1%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.4%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hibernian	Draw	Malisheva
Hibernian	27.9%	4.3%	1.4%
Draw	15.4%	18.7%	10.0%
Malisheva	2.1%	4.4%	15.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hibernian vs Malisheva

0 Hibernian Wins

0 Draws

1 Malisheva Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Malisheva	2 - 0	Hibernian

Hibernian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Kilmarnock	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Ross County	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	A ST Johnstone	L	2 - 1
03 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	1 - 3

Malisheva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ballkani	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Llapi	W	0 - 4
10 Sep	A Dukagjini	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Gjilani	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	A Feronikeli	W	0 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Hibernian

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: David Gray

1 Sallinger

21 Obita

6 Kerr

5 O'Hora

3 Mayor

14 Chaiwa

8 Mulligan

25 Passlack

10 Boyle

9 Lowe

7 Elding

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Raphael Sallinger	G
5	Warren O'Hora	D
6	Jason Kerr	D
21	Jordan Obita	D
25	Felix Passlack	M
8	Josh Mulligan	M
14	Miguel Changa Chaiwa	M
3	Adam Mayor	M
10	Martin Boyle	F
7	Owen Elding	F
9	Nathan Lowe	F

Substitutes

11	Joe Newell	M
12	Chris Cadden	M
47	Azeem Abdulai	M
13	Jordan Smith	G
35	Freddie Owens	G
4	Grant Hanley	D
37	Joseph Mcgrath	D
20	Rudi Allan Molotnikov	M
27	Kanayochukwu Megwa	M
30	Jacob MacIntyre	M
32	Josh Campbell	M
18	Thibault Klidjé	F

Malisheva

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jusufi Bekim

1 Avdyli

2 Veliu

27 Skovgaard

5 Kryeziu

55 Shani

30 Vitija

10 Xhylani

6 Ferati

7 Uka

99 Ibishi

17 İsgändärli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ilir Avdyli	G
55	Kesli Shani	D
5	Dreni Kryeziu	D
27	Andreas Skovgaard	D
2	Arlind Veliu	D
6	Besnik Ferati	M
10	Laurent Xhylani	M
30	Donart Vitija	M
17	Vüsal İsgändärli	M
99	Dzemal Ibishi	F
7	Kreshnik Uka	M

Substitutes

18	Valjmir Nafiu	M
20	Arber Pira	D
3	Omer Bajraktari	D
9	Krenar Dulaj	F
25	Adnan Kanurić	G
33	Redjep Murati	D
8	Mark Bushaj	M
14	Korab Luma	M