Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Pafos

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

1st leg 0-2 · Aggregate 2-2

HNK Hajduk Split

Away

AI call Too close to call

35%

24%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction: Sportiko gives Pafos a 35% chance of winning, HNK Hajduk Split 41% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 09:01.

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Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

12' ▮

Gonçalo Rodrigues

40' ⚽ 1–0

45+2' ⇄

Gonçalo Rodrigues Yellow Card

45+4' ▮

HT 1–0

▮ 50'

Yellow Card

⇄ 53'

⇄ 63'

Mathieu Acapandié ⇄ Niko Sigur

Ivan Šunjić Yellow Card

68' ▮

71' ⇄

Gonçalo Rodrigues

71' ⇄

Ivan Šunjić

82' ⇄

⇄ Ken Sema

82' ⇄

⇄ 85'

90+1' ⚽ 2–0

Biel

93' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 96'

Yellow Card

⇄ 98'

Biel

103' ⇄

⇄ 106'

117' ⚽ 4–0

FT 2–0

Pafos

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk Split

65% Ball Possession 35%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

5 Shots on Goal 2

13 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

9 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 3

16 Fouls 14

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Pafos

LWLLD

HNK Hajduk Split

WLLWL

Last 1 meetings Pafos · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In this UEFA Europa League clash, Pafos hosts HNK Hajduk Split. Pafos will rely on their solid home form, aiming to capitalize on scoring opportunities, which they average 1.5 goals per match in the league. Conversely, Hajduk Split has demonstrated resilience in their recent away fixtures, boasting a defensive record that concedes an average of just 0.7 goals per match. The match could hinge on Pafos's ability to break through Hajduk's organized defense while the Croatian side looks to exploit any counter-attacking opportunities. Both teams will aim to secure an early advantage in this crucial group stage encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HNK Hajduk Split goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	13	14	10	5	2
1	3	10	9	6	3	1
2	1	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Pafos goals · most likely 0–2 (14.4%)

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

35%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

35%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	12.7%	14.4%	9.9%	5.1%
1	3.2%	10.2%	9.4%	6.5%	3.3%
2	1.4%	2.9%	3.0%	2.1%	1.1%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pafos	Draw	HNK Hajduk Split
Pafos	5.3%	3.0%	2.5%
Draw	4.1%	14.0%	22.6%
HNK Hajduk Split	0.6%	2.7%	45.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split

0 Pafos Wins

0 Draws

1 HNK Hajduk Split Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	HNK Hajduk Split	2 - 0	Pafos

Pafos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	1 - 0
30 Jul	H HNK Hajduk Split	W	2 - 0
23 Jul	A HNK Hajduk Split	L	2 - 0
16 Jul	A Slovan Bratislava	L	3 - 2
08 Jul	A FK Jablonec	D	0 - 0

HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A FK Zalgiris Vilnius	W	2 - 5
02 Aug	A NK Varazdin	L	2 - 1
30 Jul	A Pafos	L	2 - 0
23 Jul	H Pafos	W	2 - 0
16 Jul	A Žilina	L	2 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Pafos

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Albert Celades

99 Majecki

14 Ioannou

4 Luiz

5 Goldar

7 Bruno

6 Guga

26 Šunjić

8 Quina

11 Jajá

18 Lelê

20 Biel

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Radosław Majecki	G
7	Bruno	D
5	David Goldar	D
4	David Luiz	D
14	Nikolas Ioannou	D
8	Domingos Quina	M
26	Ivan Šunjić	M
6	Guga	M
20	Biel	F
18	Lelê	F
11	Jajá	M

Substitutes

30	Vlad Dragomir	M
71	Michalis Papastylianou	G
82	Petros Petrou	G
3	Samy Mmaee	D
72	Kosmas Ioannou	D
42	Georgios Michael	M
50	Alexandre Brito	M
80	Christos Efzona	M
77	João Correia	M
88	Pêpê	M
12	Ken Sema	M
47	Murad Mammadov	F

HNK Hajduk Split

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

33 Silić

32 Hrgović

5 Hoorenbeeck

15 Marešić

22 Acapandié

4 Pajaziti

21 Pukštas

17 Melnjak

9 Almeida

26 Huram

11 Šego

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Toni Silić	G
22	Mathieu Acapandié	D
15	Dario Marešić	D
5	Alec Van Hoorenbeeck	D
32	Šimun Hrgović	D
21	Rokas Pukštas	M
4	Adrion Pajaziti	M
26	Adam Huram	M
9	Dalisson de Almeida	M
17	Dario Melnjak	D
11	Michele Šego	F

Substitutes

7	Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba	M
8	Niko Sigur	D
10	Marko Livaja	F
1	Ivica Ivušić	G
44	Dante Stipica	G
14	Ron Raçi	D
36	Marino Skelin	D
38	Luka Hodak	D
16	Anđelo Šutalo	M
19	Etnik Brruti	M
20	Alberto del Moral	M
37	Noa Skoko	M