Zira vs Paide Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Zira

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

1st leg 0-1 · Aggregate 1-2

Paide

Away

AI call Zira to win or draw

69%

20%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Zira vs Paide prediction: Sportiko gives Zira a 69% chance of winning, Paide 11% and the draw 20%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 17:55.

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Under 3.5 Goals 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

5' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

⚽ 1–1 71'

⇄ 72'

72' ⇄

⇄ 75'

80' ⇄

Yellow Card

83' ▮

89' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Our lean

Zira to win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Zira

LDLWW

Paide

WWLWL

Last 1 meetings Zira · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash between Zira and Paide, both teams will look to assert themselves early in the tournament. Zira has shown a solid defensive record, allowing only 1.2 goals per match over their last five fixtures, while Paide's offense has been potent, averaging 2.1 goals per match in the same period. The key for Zira will be to contain Paide's attacking threats and capitalize on set pieces, as they tend to struggle against organized defenses. Conversely, Paide will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Zira, making this an intriguing matchup. The outcome may hinge on which team's strategy prevails in a tightly contested encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

10%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

11%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paide goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Zira goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	6.5%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.9%	13.9%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.3%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.4%	4.7%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.8%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Zira	Draw	Paide
Zira	29.8%	4.6%	1.6%
Draw	15.4%	18.2%	10.1%
Paide	2.0%	4.1%	14.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Zira vs Paide

0 Zira Wins

0 Draws

1 Paide Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Paide	1 - 0	Zira

Zira — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turan	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Qarabag	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Sabah FA	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	H Neftchi Baku	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	H Mil-Muğan	W	1 - 0

Paide — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nõmme United	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Vaprus	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Laagri	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Tammeka	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.