Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Kalju Nomme

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

1st leg 2-5 · Aggregate 4-6

Shelbourne

Away

AI call Shelbourne or draw

31%

28%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne prediction: Sportiko gives Kalju Nomme a 31% chance of winning, Shelbourne 42% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 17:59.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Daniel Kelly

Red Card

31' ▮

▮ 42'

Daniel Kelly Yellow Card

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Daniel Kelly ⇄ Will Jarvis

⇄ 46'

Paddy Barrett

⇄ 46'

Rodrigo Freitas

49' ⚽ 1–1

62' ⇄

⇄ 63'

⇄ Jonathan Lunney

67' ⇄

⇄ 73'

James Norris ⇄ Sean Gannon

74' ⇄

75' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 77'

Jonathan Lunney Yellow Card

Yellow Card

78' ▮

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Shelbourne or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Kalju Nomme

WWLLL

Shelbourne

WLLDD

Last 1 meetings Kalju Nomme · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Kalju Nomme will face Shelbourne. Kalju Nomme has shown solid form in recent domestic matches, emphasizing their attacking prowess, while Shelbourne has been consistent defensively but struggles against aggressive offenses. Key players to watch include Kalju's forward line, which has been prolific in front of goal, and Shelbourne's defense, which will need to be at its best to withstand pressure. This match promises to be competitive, with tactical battles likely defining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Shelbourne goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	3	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Kalju Nomme goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	8.7%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%
1	7.7%	14.3%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.7%	7.7%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kalju Nomme	Draw	Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme	20.7%	4.7%	1.9%
Draw	10.8%	18.7%	13.0%
Shelbourne	1.5%	4.4%	24.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne

0 Kalju Nomme Wins

0 Draws

1 Shelbourne Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Shelbourne	5 - 2	Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Tammeka	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Trans Narva	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Nõmme United	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Flora Tallinn	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	2 - 3

Shelbourne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Dundalk	W	2 - 3
14 Sep	H Drogheda United	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	H Derry City	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	A Shamrock Rovers	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	A Galway United	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Kalju Nomme

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Nikita Andreev

1 Perk

4 Boronilštšikov

46 Vukušić

50 Podholjuzin

78 Mashchenko

21 Baptista

59 Vastsuk

8 Musolitin

26 Siht

17 Esono

11 Orlov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Henri Perk	G
78	Danyl Mashchenko	D
50	Maksim Podholjuzin	D
46	Roko Vukušić	D
4	Alex Boronilštšikov	D
26	Rommi Siht	M
8	Oleksandr Musolitin	M
59	Bogdan Vastsuk	M
21	Tiago Baptista	M
11	Mihhail Orlov	F
17	Enrique Esono	M

Substitutes

88	Daniil Sotsugov	D
10	Nikita Ivanov	M
30	Ibrahim Jabir	F
69	Maksim Pavlov	G
20	Modou Tambedou	D
74	Fjodor Jekimov	D
5	Uku Korre	D
22	Aleksandr Nikolajev	D
7	Daniil Tarassenkov	D
52	Idalécio	F

Shelbourne

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald

19 Beach

18 Norris

29 Barrett

4 Ledwidge

25 Mbeng

14 Coote

23 McInroy

17 Kelly

22 Moore

20 Freitas

27 Caffrey

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
19	Eddie Beach	G
25	Milan Mbeng	D
4	Kameron Ledwidge	D
29	Paddy Barrett	D
18	James Norris	D
17	Daniel Kelly	M
23	Kerr McInroy	M
14	Ali Coote	M
27	Evan Caffrey	M
20	Rodrigo Freitas	F
22	Sean Moore	F

Substitutes

16	Odhran Casey	D
36	Will Jarvis	F
44	Daniel Ring	F
6	Jonathan Lunney	M
73	Finn Moylan	G
13	Murray Johnson	G
15	Sam Bone	D
2	Sean Gannon	D
55	James Roche	D
56	Joey Ikala Wuna	F