FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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FK Tobol Kostanay

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 1

1st leg 1-1 · Aggregate 2-2

Panevėžys

Away

AI call FK Tobol Kostanay to win or draw

69%

20%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys prediction: Sportiko gives FK Tobol Kostanay a 69% chance of winning, Panevėžys 11% and the draw 20%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 16:44.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

31' ▮

⚽ 0–1 33'

▮ 34'

Yellow Card

⇄ 35'

assist: Islam Chesnokov

45+3' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

▮ 52'

Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

63' ⇄

⇄ 64'

77' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Yellow Card

90' ▮

98' ⇄

⇄ 106'

106' ⇄

115' ⇄

▮ 118'

Yellow Card

Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 2–1

✗ 120+1'

Missed Penalty

Penalty

120+2' ⚽ 3–1

⚽ 3–2 120+2'

Penalty

120+3' ⚽ 4–2

⚽ 4–3 120+3'

Penalty

Missed Penalty

120+4' ✗

✗ 120+4'

Missed Penalty

120+5' ✗

✗ 120+5'

Missed Penalty

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Our lean

FK Tobol Kostanay to win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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FK Tobol Kostanay

LWWLW

Panevėžys

LWWWL

Last 1 meetings FK Tobol Kostanay · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup between FK Tobol Kostanay and Panevėžys, both teams will seek to assert their tactical strengths. FK Tobol, known for their solid defensive structure, will aim to control the midfield and stifle Panevėžys' attacking transitions. Panevėžys, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience in away fixtures, often capitalizing on counter-attacking opportunities. Key players to watch include Tobol's playmaker, who excels in creating goal-scoring chances, and Panevėžys' forward, known for his pace and finishing ability. This match could hinge on which team can better exploit the other's weaknesses while maintaining composure in crucial moments.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Panevėžys goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FK Tobol Kostanay goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	5.6%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.4%	13.3%	5.3%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.6%	9.6%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	5.8%	5.3%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.4%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Tobol Kostanay	Draw	Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay	30.7%	3.3%	0.9%
Draw	20.6%	17.7%	7.4%
Panevėžys	2.9%	4.6%	11.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys

0 FK Tobol Kostanay Wins

1 Draws

0 Panevėžys Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Panevėžys	1 - 1	FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Yelimay Semey	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A Kairat Almaty	W	1 - 4
06 Sep	H Ulytau	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A Kaspiy	L	1 - 0
25 Aug	H Kaisar	W	3 - 2

Panevėžys — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
13 Sep	H Kauno Žalgiris	L	0 - 1
07 Sep	A Hegelmann Litauen	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	A Banga	W	0 - 3
30 Aug	H FK Zalgiris Vilnius	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A Suduva Marijampole	L	2 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Panevėžys

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Toni Korkeakunnas

1 Černiauskas

66 Balsys

33 Keita

13 Kerkez

28 Burdzilauskas

34 Asante

6 Ramanauskas

77 Bizoza

79 Paulauskas

24 Petkevičius

27 Asamoah

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Vytautas Černiauskas	G
28	Ernestas Burdzilauskas	F
13	Strahinja Kerkez	D
33	Seydina Keita	D
66	Dovydas Balsys	D
77	Parfait Bizoza	M
6	Matas Ramanauskas	M
34	Isaac Asante	M
27	Kwadwo Asamoah	M
24	Nauris Petkevičius	F
79	Valdas Paulauskas	M

Substitutes

32	Rokas Rasimavicius	D
17	Oleksandr Kurtsev	M
16	Marko Bačanin	F
12	Liudvikas Valius	G
22	Arijus Brazinskas	G
4	Rayen Mzoughi	D
5	Miano van den Bos	D
15	Justinas Janusevskis	D
95	Joël Bopesu	D
8	Salomon Kouadio	M
80	Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas	M