FC Copenhagen vs Polessya Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
2 : 1
HT 1 - 0
1st leg 3-3 · Aggregate 5-4
AI call Difficult FC Copenhagen win or draw
52%
27%
22%
Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Copenhagen vs Polessya prediction: Sportiko gives FC Copenhagen a 52% chance of winning, Polessya 22% and the draw 27%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 18:52.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 73%
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Match Report

FC Copenhagen secured a 2–1 victory over Polessya in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round first leg, with the hosts dominant in possession but made to work harder than the scoreline might suggest. Mohamed Elyounoussi converted a penalty on 27 minutes to give Copenhagen a deserved half-time lead, with Copenhagen controlling 70% of the ball and registering 23 shots across the 90 minutes.

The tie shifted decisively at the start of the second half when Polessya's Junnosuke Suzuki was shown a red card on 46 minutes, leaving the visitors to defend with ten men. Robert capitalised on that numerical advantage, doubling Copenhagen's lead on 61 minutes, and the match appeared to be heading toward a comfortable conclusion. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Copenhagen win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved correct.

However, Polessya showed resilience in the closing stages, with Mykola Haiduchyk pulling a goal back deep into stoppage time to make it 2–1. That late strike gives the Ukrainian side a foothold ahead of the second leg, ensuring the tie remains alive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mohamed Elyounoussi Penalty
27' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 30'
Oleksandr Nazarenko Yellow Card
HT 1–0
Junnosuke Suzuki Red Card
46' ▮
William Clem ⇄ Munashe Garananga
53' ⇄
⇄ 57'
Oleksandr Nazarenko ⇄ Maksym Bragaru
⇄ 57'
Oleksandr Andriyevskiy ⇄ Lindon Emërllahu
Robert assist: Mads Emil Madsen
61' ⚽ 2–0
Thomas Delaney Yellow Card
66' ▮
⇄ 69'
Oleg Fedor ⇄ Mykola Haiduchyk
⇄ 69'
Ruslan Babenko ⇄ Oleksandr Filippov
⇄ 74'
Giorgi Maisuradze ⇄ Vladyslav Veleten
Thomas Delaney ⇄ Birger Meling
77' ⇄
Robert ⇄ Jordan Larsson
88' ⇄
⚽ 2–1 90+3'
Mykola Haiduchyk
FT 2–1
FC Copenhagen

Match Stats

Polessya
30% Ball Possession 70%
Expected Goals (xG)
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Goal 3
1 Shots off Goal 12
2 Blocked Shots 8
4 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 17
2 Corner Kicks 14
1 Offsides 0
6 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
257 Total passes 560
204 Passes accurate 504
79% Passes % 90%
goals_prevented
FC Copenhagen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Mads Emil Madsen M 8.5 92' – 1 – 18 (14%) 4
10 Mohamed Elyounoussi M 8.2 92' 1 – 1 24 (19%) 4
16 Robert M 7.3 88' 1 – 1 14 (8%) 3
14 Andreas Cornelius F 7.3 92' – – – 23 (14%) 1
1 Dominik Kotarski G 7.2 92' – – – 29 (19%) –
2 Felix Beijmo D 7.2 92' – – – 38 (33%) –
27 Thomas Delaney M 7.2 77' – – – 19 (14%) 3
33 Alex Král D 7.0 92' – – – 16 (15%) 2
15 Marcos López D 6.9 92' – – – 31 (26%) –
24 Birger Meling D 6.7 15' – – – – 1
36 William Clem M 6.6 53' – – 1 14 (13%) 1
20 Junnosuke Suzuki D 6.3 46' – – – 30 (29%) 5
4 Munashe Garananga D 6.3 39' – – – – –
11 Jordan Larsson F — 4' – – – 1 –
Polessya
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Sergiy Chobotenko D 7.3 92' – – 1 91 (86%) 1
11 Leandro Andrade F 7.0 92' – – 3 29 (27%) 1
55 Borys Krushynskyi D 6.9 92' – – 1 97 (87%) 1
10 Vladyslav Veleten M 6.9 18' – – – 6 (5%) 1
89 Mykola Haiduchyk F 6.7 23' – – – 9 (9%) 1
8 Ruslan Babenko M 6.6 69' – – – 45 (39%) 1
15 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko D 6.5 92' – – 2 69 (61%) 2
14 Lindon Emërllahu M 6.5 35' – – – 24 (21%) 2
7 Oleksandr Nazarenko F 6.3 57' – – 1 27 (24%) 1
9 Oleksandr Filippov F 6.3 23' – – – 12 (11%) –
77 Georgiy Bushchan G 6.2 92' – – – 26 (24%) –
18 Oleksandr Andriyevskiy M 6.2 57' – – 1 24 (23%) –
27 Oleg Fedor M 6.2 69' – – 1 19 (18%) –
31 Giorgi Maisuradze D 5.9 74' – – 2 43 (36%) 3
45 Maksym Bragaru M 5.9 35' – – 1 20 (17%) –
95 Igor Krasnopir F 5.6 92' – – 2 19 (16%) –
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult FC Copenhagen win or draw
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FC Copenhagen
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Polessya
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Last 1 meetings FC Copenhagen · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, FC Copenhagen faces Polessya. FC Copenhagen boasts a strong home record in European competitions, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per game at home last season. Conversely, Polessya has struggled in away fixtures, typically conceding 1.8 goals per game in similar settings. The match will likely hinge on Copenhagen's ability to exploit defensive weaknesses, while Polessya will need to solidify their backline to stand a chance against a potent offense. Expect a high-pressure game with Copenhagen favored to secure a vital win.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Copenhagen
Robert 4 gls
A. Cornelius 3 gls
M. Elyounoussi 3 gls
M. Emil Madsen 2 gls
Polessya

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: FC Copenhagen vs Polessya

0 FC Copenhagen Wins
1 Draws
0 Polessya Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Jul 2026 Polessya 3 - 3 FC Copenhagen

FC Copenhagen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Brondby W 0 - 1
15 Sep A Skovshoved W 0 - 3
11 Sep H AC Horsens W 2 - 0
06 Sep A Odense W 0 - 5
03 Sep H FC Nordsjaelland W 2 - 0

Polessya — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Kryvbas KR W 1 - 0
13 Sep H Livyi Bereh W 1 - 0
09 Sep H Kudrivka W 2 - 0
04 Sep H Kudrivka W 5 - 1
29 Aug A Shakhtar Donetsk W 0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mjallby AIF
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Brighton
0 0 0 0 0 0
3
Monaco
0 0 0 0 0 0
4
FK Jablonec
0 0 0 0 0 0
5
Gent
0 0 0 0 0 0
6
St. Truiden
0 0 0 0 0 0
7
SC Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Atalanta
0 0 0 0 0 0
9
Ajax
0 0 0 0 0 0
10
Twente
0 0 0 0 0 0
11
Getafe
0 0 0 0 0 0
12
KuPS
0 0 0 0 0 0
13
CSKA Sofia
0 0 0 0 0 0
14
HNK Hajduk Split
0 0 0 0 0 0
15
Pafos
0 0 0 0 0 0
16
Aarhus
0 0 0 0 0 0
17
FC Copenhagen
0 0 0 0 0 0
18
FC Midtjylland
0 0 0 0 0 0
19
FC Nordsjaelland
0 0 0 0 0 0
20
Panathinaikos
0 0 0 0 0 0
21
Brann
0 0 0 0 0 0
22
SC Braga
0 0 0 0 0 0
23
Heart Of Midlothian
0 0 0 0 0 0
24
FC Lugano
0 0 0 0 0 0
25
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 0 0 0 0 0
26
FC Thun
0 0 0 0 0 0
27
Trabzonspor
0 0 0 0 0 0
28
Borac Banja Luka
0 0 0 0 0 0
29
Kairat Almaty
0 0 0 0 0 0
30
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0 0 0 0 0 0
31
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0 0 0 0 0 0
32
Kauno Žalgiris
0 0 0 0 0 0
33
Universitatea Craiova
0 0 0 0 0 0
34
FC Iberia 1999
0 0 0 0 0 0
35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0 0 0 0 0 0
36
Riga
0 0 0 0 0 0

Polessya

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ruslan Rotan
77 Bushchan
15 Mykhaylichenko
55 Krushynskyi
44 Chobotenko
31 Maisuradze
27 Fedor
8 Babenko
18 Andriyevskiy
7 Nazarenko
95 Krasnopir
11 Andrade

Starting XI

# Player Pos
77 Georgiy Bushchan G
31 Giorgi Maisuradze D
44 Sergiy Chobotenko D
55 Borys Krushynskyi D
15 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko D
18 Oleksandr Andriyevskiy M
8 Ruslan Babenko M
27 Oleg Fedor M
11 Leandro Andrade F
95 Igor Krasnopir F
7 Oleksandr Nazarenko F

Substitutes

14 Lindon Emërllahu M
45 Maksym Bragaru M
9 Oleksandr Filippov F
89 Mykola Haiduchyk F
1 Oleg Kudryk G
12 Artur Drobot G
4 Mykyta Kravchenko D
94 Denys Hryshkevych D
6 Borel Tomandzoto D
10 Vladyslav Veleten M
19 Volodymyr Shepelev M

FC Copenhagen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Bo Svensson
1 Kotarski
15 López
20 Suzuki
2 Beijmo
33 Král
27 Delaney
36 Clem
16 Robert
21 Madsen
10 Elyounoussi
14 Cornelius

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Dominik Kotarski G
33 Alex Král D
2 Felix Beijmo D
20 Junnosuke Suzuki D
15 Marcos López D
36 William Clem M
27 Thomas Delaney M
10 Mohamed Elyounoussi M
21 Mads Emil Madsen M
16 Robert M
14 Andreas Cornelius F

Substitutes

4 Munashe Garananga D
31 Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson G
51 Tobias Breum-Harild G
18 Kenay Myrie D
24 Birger Meling D
37 Mustapha Nyassi D
40 Henrik Haraldsen D
11 Jordan Larsson F
34 Marvin Nasnas M
9 Youssoufa Moukoko F
44 Geovanni Vianney F
45 Gunnar Orri Olsen F

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