Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo Prediction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
1 : 1
HT 1 - 0
1st leg 2-0 · Aggregate 3-1
AI call Slovan Bratislava to win
67%
20%
13%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo prediction: Sportiko gives Slovan Bratislava a 67% chance of winning, Saburtalo 13% and the draw 20%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 20:09.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Slovan Bratislava and Saburtalo played out a 1–1 draw in their UEFA Champions League second qualifying round first leg, a result that leaves the tie finely poised. The hosts looked on course for a comfortable victory after taking the lead through a goal just before half-time, heading into the break with a 1–0 advantage.

Saburtalo turned the match on its head almost immediately after the restart, equalising in the 51st minute to level proceedings and shift the momentum. The second half was a busy affair, with both managers making extensive use of their substitutes as each side pushed for a decisive goal. Yellow cards were distributed throughout the contest, with César Blackman among those cautioned.

The draw means both clubs will head into the second leg with everything still to play for. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Slovan Bratislava win as the most likely outcome at 67%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
25'
César Blackman Yellow Card
36'
44' 1–0
HT 1–0
1–1 51'
52'
Yellow Card
55'
55'
63'
63'
64'
Yellow Card
65'
70'
71'
76'
76'
84'
90+2'
Yellow Card
FT 1–1
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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean
Slovan Bratislava to win
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Slovan Bratislava
WWDWW
Saburtalo
DDWLD
Last 1 meetings Slovan Bratislava · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Champions League clash, Slovan Bratislava faces Saburtalo. Slovan Bratislava has a strong home record, with a solid defense allowing an average of just 0.8 goals per match in recent league play. Conversely, Saburtalo has struggled on the road, conceding over 1.5 goals per match in their last five away fixtures. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Slovan's ball possession and pressing may exploit Saburtalo's defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, Slovan appears to have the upper hand based on current form and defensive stability.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
13%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo

1 Slovan Bratislava Wins
0 Draws
0 Saburtalo Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Jul 2026 Saburtalo 0 - 2 Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Aug A Mjallby AIF W 1 - 2
01 Aug H Podbrezová W 3 - 0
29 Jul H Saburtalo D 1 - 1
26 Jul A Dukla Banská Bystrica W 0 - 4
21 Jul A Saburtalo W 0 - 2

Saburtalo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Aug A Larne D 0 - 0
29 Jul A Slovan Bratislava D 1 - 1
24 Jul A Margveti 2006 W 1 - 3
21 Jul H Slovan Bratislava L 0 - 2
14 Jul H Flora Tallinn D 2 - 2

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Slovan Bratislava

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Yaya Toure
1 Popovic
57 Cruz
15 Marković
12 Bajrić
28 Blackman
8 Gajdoš
3 Pokorný
70 Martínez
14 Yirajang
9 Kukharevych
29 Maros

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Aleksandar Popovic G
28 César Blackman D
12 Kenan Bajrić D
15 Svetozar Marković D
57 Sandro Cruz D
70 Cristian Martínez M
3 Peter Pokorný M
8 Artur Gajdoš M
29 Alexej Maros M
9 Mykola Kukharevych F
14 Alasana Yirajang M

Substitutes

44 Matúš Macík G
71 Dominik Takáč G
2 Samuel Kozlovský D
6 Kevin Wimmer D
17 Jurij Medveděv D
23 Sharani Zuberu D
5 Rahim Ibrahim M
20 Alen Mustafić M
25 Leo Hofstadter M
77 Danylo Ignatenko M
88 Daiki Matsuoka M
24 Matúš Tomáško F

Saburtalo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Andriy Demchenko
31 Makaridze
40 Kobuladze
25 Amisulashvili
4 Selimović
5 Jinjolava
6 Dadiani
8 Kardava
27 Kutsia
19 Sikharulashvili
10 Natchkebia
18 Cafe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Giorgi Makaridze G
5 Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava D
4 Vahid Selimović D
25 Aleksandre Amisulashvili D
40 Giorgi Kobuladze D
27 Giorgi Kutsia M
8 Bakar Kardava M
6 Nikoloz Dadiani M
18 Lucas Cafe M
10 Zviad Natchkebia M
19 Nika Sikharulashvili M

Substitutes

11 Andria Bartishvili M
14 Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan M
1 Tornike Megrelishvili G
16 Revaz Kurtanidze G
39 Giorgi Chanturia D
30 Nikoloz Bochorishvili D
23 Eldar Kuliiev M
9 Amiran Dzagania F
17 Stephen Ende F
29 Lado Chikhradze F

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