FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round

Post on X

FK Crvena Zvezda

Home

5 : 0

HT 2 - 0

1st leg 4-0 · Aggregate 9-0

Larne

Away

AI call FK Crvena Zvezda to win

84%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne prediction: Sportiko gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 84% chance of winning, Larne 5% and the draw 11%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 19:56.

Premium picks

Premium

1st Half Over 0.5 72%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

FK Crvena Zvezda produced a commanding performance to dismantle Larne 5–0 in the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round, with the Serbian giants never in serious danger throughout. Aleksandar Katai opened the scoring as early as the third minute, though a second effort from the winger was correctly ruled out for offside by VAR. Marko Arnautović added a crucial second deep into first-half stoppage time to send the hosts in firmly in control at the break.

The second half brought more of the same, with Loizos Loizou extending the lead just four minutes after the restart. Arnautović then grabbed his second of the night on the hour mark, and Osman Bukari rounded off the scoring with a fifth goal in the 79th minute to complete a thoroughly convincing victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Crvena Zvezda win at 84% — a call that proved well-founded.

Larne, the Northern Irish visitors, offered little resistance across the ninety minutes as Red Star's quality told emphatically. The aggregate scoreline leaves the tie all but settled heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Aleksandar Katai assist: Miloš Veljković

3' ⚽ 1–0

Aleksandar Katai Goal Disallowed - offside

16' 🖵

Marko Arnautović assist: Miloš Veljković

45+4' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ P. O'Neill

Loizos Loizou

49' ⚽ 3–0

Marko Arnautović assist: Young-woo Seol

60' ⚽ 4–0

⇄ 60'

⇄ J. Simpson

⇄ 60'

J. McEneff

Loizos Loizou ⇄ Osman Bukari

63' ⇄

Matej Strika ⇄ Nair Tiknizyan

64' ⇄

Rade Krunić ⇄ Timi Max Elšnik

64' ⇄

Young-woo Seol

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

⇄ C. McKendry

Mohammad Abu Fani ⇄ Mirko Ivanić

77' ⇄

Osman Bukari assist: Aleksandar Katai

79' ⚽ 5–0

⇄ 79'

S. Graham

FT 5–0

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

Confidence High (84%)

At a glance

Our lean

FK Crvena Zvezda to win

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

FK Crvena Zvezda

LWWWD

Larne

DLLWW

Last 1 meetings FK Crvena Zvezda · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

FK Crvena Zvezda comes into this UEFA Champions League match with a strong home record, historically performing well in this competition. Their squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by consistent offensive output, make them formidable opponents. Larne, while competitive in their domestic league, may struggle against the tactical discipline and experience of Crvena Zvezda. Key players for both teams will be crucial, but the home side's familiarity with high-stakes matches could prove decisive. Expect a tightly contested match with Crvena Zvezda likely favored to secure a positive result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

84%

45%

Draw

11%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Larne goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	10	12	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	7	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ FK Crvena Zvezda goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	3.9%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.1%	11.6%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	10.1%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.3%	6.6%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.6%	3.2%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Crvena Zvezda	Draw	Larne
FK Crvena Zvezda	39.4%	3.6%	1.0%
Draw	19.7%	14.8%	6.1%
Larne	2.7%	3.8%	8.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne

1 FK Crvena Zvezda Wins

0 Draws

0 Larne Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Jul 2026	Larne	0 - 4	FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Hapoel Beer Sheva	L	1 - 0
29 Jul	H Larne	W	5 - 0
26 Jul	H Vojvodina	W	3 - 1
21 Jul	A Larne	W	0 - 4
03 Jul	H FC BW Linz	D	2 - 2

Larne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H Saburtalo	D	0 - 0
29 Jul	A FK Crvena Zvezda	L	5 - 0
21 Jul	H FK Crvena Zvezda	L	0 - 4
14 Jul	H Tre Fiori	W	2 - 1
07 Jul	A Tre Fiori	W	0 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

FK Crvena Zvezda

Formation: 4-3-2-1 Coach: Dejan Stankovic

1 Matheus

27 Strika

13 Veljković

30 Tebo

66 Seol

33 Krunić

15 Fani

75 Loizou

70 Saračević

10 Katai

7 Arnautović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Matheus	G
66	Young-woo Seol	D
30	Franklin Tebo	D
13	Miloš Veljković	D
27	Matej Strika	D
75	Loizos Loizou	M
15	Mohammad Abu Fani	M
33	Rade Krunić	M
10	Aleksandar Katai	M
70	Muhammed-Cham Saračević	M
7	Marko Arnautović	F

Substitutes

14	Osman Bukari	M
23	Nair Tiknizyan	D
21	Timi Max Elšnik	M
24	Nikola Stanković	D
77	Ivan Guteša	G
25	Strahinja Eraković	D
45	Stefan Gudelj	D
4	Mirko Ivanić	M
8	Kristiyan Balov	M
9	Jay Enem	F
17	Bruno Duarte	F
55	Dimitrije Šarić	F

Larne

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gary Haveron

1 Ferguson

4 Donnelly

3 Ridley

26 Bent

23 Cosgrove

11 Graham

6 Gallagher

15 Doherty

22 McEneff

19 O'Hara

25 Sloan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Rohan Ferguson	G
23	Tomas Cosgrove	D
26	Dan Bent	M
3	Matt Ridley	D
4	Aaron Donnelly	D
15	Ronan Doherty	M
6	Chris Gallagher	M
11	Sean Graham	D
25	Dylan Sloan	M
19	Kevin O'Hara	F
22	Jordan McEneff	M

Substitutes

9	Paul O'Neill	F
2	Logan Wallace	D
47	James Simpson	M
36	Dylan Graham	G
7	Conor McKendry	M
14	Benji Magee	M
17	Joshua Ukek	M
30	Matthew Lusty	F
45	Montel Gibson	F