Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe Prediction
Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe prediction: Sportiko gives Gornik Zabrze a 17% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 58% and the draw 25%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 20:01.
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Match Report
Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe played out a 1–1 draw in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League second qualifying round tie, with the match effectively settled before half-time. Fenerbahçe took the lead early through a Talisca penalty in the 12th minute, only for Gornik to level in dramatic fashion deep into first-half stoppage time, Michal Sáček finding the net in the 55th minute of the opening period to send the teams in level at the break.
The second half was a more controlled affair, with Fenerbahçe edging the statistical battle — registering six shots on target to Gornik's two — and earning nine corners to the hosts' seven. The Turkish side made several tactical changes, including the introduction of Marco Asensio and later Kerem Aktürkoğlu, though neither side could find a decisive second goal. Discipline was a recurring theme throughout, with eight yellow cards distributed across both teams and Fenerbahçe finishing the match with ten men after Nélson Semedo was substituted following his booking.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fenerbahçe win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved directionally sound given the visitors' overall dominance in the key attacking metrics.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Gornik Zabrze
Match Stats
Gornik Zabrze
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Michal Sáček D | 7.9 | 93' | 1 | – | 2 | 36 (32%) | 9 |
| 20 Josema D | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | 4 |
| 88 T. Ismaheel M | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 64 Erik Janža D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 41 (35%) | 2 |
| 1 Philipp Schulze G | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 25 (13%) | – |
| 26 Rafał Janicki D | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 40 (28%) | – |
| 19 Peter González M | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 82 Kacper Urbański M | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 46 (39%) | 2 |
| 33 Maksym Khlan M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 7 Yvan Ikia Dimi M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 19 (10%) | – |
| 11 Erik Prekop F | 6.3 | 63' | – | 1 | 1 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 23 Sondre Liseth F | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 34 Bruno Durdov M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 66 Maximilian Dietz M | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | – |
| 18 Lukáš Sadílek M | 5.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | – |
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Milan Škriniar D | 7.7 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 52 (50%) | 2 |
| 15 N. Aké D | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 51 (51%) | 2 |
| 17 İrfan Can Kahveci M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 6 Mattéo Guendouzi M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 51 (49%) | 2 |
| 94 Talisca F | 6.9 | 80' | 1 | – | 5 | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 10 Marco Asensio M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 11 Mason Greenwood F | 6.7 | 48' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 5 İsmail Yüksek M | 6.6 | 48' | – | – | 1 | 25 (18%) | 2 |
| 34 Mert Günok G | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 27 (15%) | – |
| 9 Kerem Aktürkoğlu M | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 2 |
| 27 Nélson Semedo D | 6.5 | 88' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 4 |
| 20 Anthony Musaba F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 70 Oğuz Aydın F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 7 Fred M | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 50 (44%) | 1 |
| 24 Jayden Oosterwolde D | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 18 Mert Müldür D | — | 5' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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No scorer data.
Talisca
4 gls
M. Greenwood
2 gls
A. Brown
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | Fenerbahçe | 1 - 0 | Gornik Zabrze |
Gornik Zabrze — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Motor Lublin | D | 0 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | A Korona Kielce | W | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Lech Poznan | W | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Cracovia Krakow | W | 0 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Raków Częstochowa | W | 1 - 2 |
Fenerbahçe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Eyüpspor | W | 8 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | A Gaziantep FK | D | 0 - 0 |
| 10 Sep | H AS Roma | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Beşiktaş | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | A Samsunspor | W | 0 - 2 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Fenerbahçe
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ismail Kartal
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Mert Günok | G |
| 27 | Nélson Semedo | D |
| 37 | Milan Škriniar | D |
| 15 | Nathan Aké | D |
| 24 | Jayden Oosterwolde | D |
| 6 | Mattéo Guendouzi | M |
| 7 | Fred | M |
| 17 | İrfan Can Kahveci | M |
| 10 | Marco Asensio | M |
| 9 | Kerem Aktürkoğlu | M |
| 94 | Talisca | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | İsmail Yüksek | M |
| 11 | Mason Greenwood | F |
| 13 | Tarık Çetin | G |
| 31 | Ederson | G |
| 3 | Archie Brown | D |
| 4 | Çağlar Söyüncü | D |
| 18 | Mert Müldür | D |
| 22 | Levent Mercan | D |
| 20 | Anthony Musaba | F |
| 28 | Bartuğ Elmaz | M |
| 70 | Oğuz Aydın | F |
Gornik Zabrze
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philipp Schulze | G |
| 61 | Michal Sáček | D |
| 26 | Rafał Janicki | D |
| 20 | Josema | D |
| 64 | Erik Janža | D |
| 66 | Maximilian Dietz | M |
| 7 | Yvan Ikia Dimi | M |
| 18 | Lukáš Sadílek | M |
| 82 | Kacper Urbański | M |
| 88 | Taofeek Ismaheel | M |
| 11 | Erik Prekop | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | Maksym Khlan | M |
| 23 | Sondre Liseth | F |
| 29 | Wiktor Kania | G |
| 2 | Patryk Warczak | D |
| 4 | Paweł Bochniewicz | D |
| 19 | Peter González | M |
| 21 | Ondřej Zmrzlý | D |
| 28 | Bastien Donio | M |
| 34 | Bruno Durdov | M |
| 36 | Michał Rakoczy | M |