Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Hapoel Beer Sheva

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2 : 0

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 1-2 · Aggregate 3-2

Vikingur Reykjavik

Away

AI call Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw

49%

28%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik prediction: Sportiko gives Hapoel Beer Sheva a 49% chance of winning, Vikingur Reykjavik 23% and the draw 28%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 19:30.

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Match Report

Hapoel Beer Sheva secured a 2–0 victory over Vikingur Reykjavik in the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round, though the first half offered little to separate the sides, ending goalless despite both teams making early substitutions through injury or tactical adjustments.

The match opened up significantly after the break, with a flurry of yellow cards setting a feisty tone. Vikingur's Daniel Hafsteinsson was among those booked, and the Icelandic side's discipline was tested throughout the second half. Hapoel broke the deadlock on 65 minutes with a composed finish, and a further goal on 80 minutes put the tie beyond doubt. A Vikingur effort was subsequently ruled out for offside by VAR, underlining the hosts' control of the contest.

The result sees Hapoel Beer Sheva advance in the competition, having managed the game effectively once they found their opening. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Hapoel win as the most likely outcome at 49%, a call that proved correct as the Israeli side's greater experience at this level ultimately told.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 9'

Tarik Ibrahimagić

⇄ 15'

Óskar Borgthórsson

36' ⇄

HT 0–0

▮ 55'

Gunnar Vatnhamar Yellow Card

Yellow Card

58' ▮

58' ⇄

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

▮ 63'

Daniel Hafsteinsson Yellow Card

65' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

69' ▮

⇄ 74'

Aron Elís Þrándarson ⇄ Viktor Örlygur Andrason

⇄ 74'

Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson

⇄ 74'

Daniel Hafsteinsson ⇄ Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson

75' ⇄

80' ⚽ 2–0

Goal Disallowed - offside

82' 🖵

Yellow Card

87' ▮

Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Hapoel Beer Sheva

WWLLW

Vikingur Reykjavik

LDLWW

Last 1 meetings Hapoel Beer Sheva · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Hapoel Beer Sheva faces Vikingur Reykjavik in a crucial UEFA Champions League matchup. Hapoel has shown strong domestic form, with a solid home record in recent seasons, contributing to their confidence. Vikingur, while less experienced on this stage, has demonstrated resilience in previous qualifying rounds. The tactical approach will be key; Hapoel's ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities will be critical against Vikingur's counter-attacking style. Overall, this match promises to be competitive as both teams seek to advance in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

23%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vikingur Reykjavik goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Hapoel Beer Sheva goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Hapoel Beer Sheva

No scorer data.

Vikingur Reykjavik

D. Hafsteinsson 1 gls

G. Sigurðsson 1 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	10.0%	7.9%	3.6%	1.2%
1	7.8%	14.5%	8.7%	4.0%	1.3%
2	5.2%	7.1%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%
3	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hapoel Beer Sheva	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva	19.0%	6.1%	3.4%
Draw	9.7%	19.3%	19.4%
Vikingur Reykjavik	1.0%	2.9%	19.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik

0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Wins

0 Draws

1 Vikingur Reykjavik Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Jul 2026	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 - 1	Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Beer Sheva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H FK Crvena Zvezda	W	1 - 0
29 Jul	H Vikingur Reykjavik	W	2 - 0
21 Jul	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 1
16 Jul	H Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	1 - 3
05 Jul	A Omonia Nicosia	W	0 - 1

Vikingur Reykjavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A FC Thun	L	3 - 0
02 Aug	A IA Akranes	D	2 - 2
29 Jul	A Hapoel Beer Sheva	L	2 - 0
24 Jul	H Keflavik	W	5 - 1
21 Jul	H Hapoel Beer Sheva	W	2 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ran Kozuch

1 Marciano

3 Baltaxa

4 Vítor

44 Diop

2 Mizrahi

17 Kangwa

25 Ventura

28 Yehoshua

9 Ahmed

66 Zlatanović

20 East

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ofir Marciano	G
2	Guy Mizrahi	D
44	Djibril Diop	D
4	Miguel Vítor	D
3	Matan Baltaxa	D
28	Niv Yehoshua	M
25	Lucas Ventura	M
17	Kings Kangwa	M
20	Javon East	F
66	Igor Zlatanović	F
9	Zahi Ahmed	F

Substitutes

12	Itay Rotman	D
34	Marco Wolff	G
13	Ofir Davidzada	D
7	Eliel Peretz	M
18	Roy Levy	M
27	Yoni Stoyanov	M
23	Itay Hazut	M
8	Hamode Kanaan	F
11	Amir Chaim Ganah	F
19	Amit Ohana	F
21	Yoav Koren	F
45	Mohamad Abu Rumi	F

Vikingur Reykjavik

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Solvi Ottesen

29 Friðriksson

9 Guðjónsson

6 Vatnhamar

4 Ekroth

22 Gunnarsson

20 Ibrahimagić

11 Hafsteinsson

10 Sigurðsson

25 Ingimundarson

21 Þrándarson

19 Borgthórsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Aron Snær Friðriksson	G
22	Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson	D
4	Oliver Ekroth	D
6	Gunnar Vatnhamar	D
9	Helgi Guðjónsson	D
10	Gylfi Sigurðsson	M
11	Daniel Hafsteinsson	M
20	Tarik Ibrahimagić	D
19	Óskar Borgthórsson	M
21	Aron Elís Þrándarson	M
25	Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson	F

Substitutes

30	Sveinn Margeir Hauksson	M
77	Stigur Diljan Thordarson	M
47	Ögmundur Kristinsson	G
99	Uggi Johann Audunsson	G
2	Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson	D
24	Davíð Örn Atlason	D
7	Erlingur Agnarsson	M
8	Viktor Örlygur Andrason	M
18	Dadi Jónsson	M
69	Armann Ingi Finnbogason	M
23	Nikolaj Hansen	F