Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Alloa Athletic

Away

Somerset Park, Ayr

AI call Difficult Ayr Utd win or draw

58%

26%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic prediction: Sportiko gives Ayr Utd a 58% chance of winning, Alloa Athletic 16% and the draw 26%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 15:50.

Premium picks

Premium

Home to Score 73%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

15' ⚽ 1–0

Penalty

18' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 34'

Yellow Card

38' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

46' ⇄

⚽ 3–1 60'

✗ 65'

Missed Penalty

⇄ 68'

68' ⇄

69' ⇄

⇄ 78'

78' ⇄

85' ⚽ 4–1

87' ⇄

FT 4–1

Ayr Utd

Match Stats

Alloa Athletic

56% Ball Possession 44%

12 Total Shots 4

6 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 1

1 Blocked Shots 0

6 Shots insidebox 1

6 Shots outsidebox 2

5 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Free Kicks 12

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Ayr Utd win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Alloa Athletic

WLLDD

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup clash, Ayr Utd faces Alloa Athletic, with both teams looking to secure an early advantage in the tournament. Ayr Utd has shown a solid performance in recent fixtures, boasting a strong home record, while Alloa Athletic has been inconsistent, particularly in away matches. Key players to watch include Ayr's attacking threats, which could exploit defensive gaps in Alloa's setup. The outcome may hinge on Ayr's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity against Alloa's counter-attacks. Overall, this matchup is poised to be competitive, with tactical discipline likely playing a crucial role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alloa Athletic goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	14	15	5	2
2	10	8	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ayr Utd goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	8.3%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
1	13.5%	14.6%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%
2	9.9%	8.4%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.3%	3.6%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ayr Utd	Draw	Alloa Athletic
Ayr Utd	27.1%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	17.7%	21.9%	9.8%
Alloa Athletic	1.8%	4.0%	12.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Alloa Athletic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hibernian U21	W	4 - 1
19 Sep	H East Kilbride	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Airdrie United	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Clydebank	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Cove Rangers	D	1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Ayr Utd

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

1 Stone

6 Lyon

22 McKenzie

3 Dick

5 Holt

7 Stirton

10 Shanks

16 Summers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	H. Stone	G
5	K. Holt	D
3	L. Dick	D
22	M. McKenzie	M
6	R. Lyon	M
16	B. Summers	M
10	K. Shanks	F
7	O. Stirton	F

Substitutes

26	M. Warbrick	M
8	L. King	D
18	J. Hislop	M
15	J. Murphy	M
38	L. Russell	G
11	R. Taylor	M
21	E. Walker	F
4	S. Want	D

Alloa Athletic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
2	S. Taggart	D
20	C. O'Donnell	D
4	S. Hetherington	M
12	S. Scougall	M
11	C. Gallagher	F

Substitutes

31	L. Green	G
14	F. McCafferty	M
18	Arran Pettifer	M
10	L. Rankin	F
15	J. Walker	F
19	S. Buchanan	M