Morton vs Inverness CT Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Inverness CT

Away

Cappielow Park, Greenock

AI call Difficult Inverness CT win or draw

15%

23%

62%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Morton vs Inverness CT prediction: Sportiko gives Morton a 15% chance of winning, Inverness CT 62% and the draw 23%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 15:50.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Penalty

45' ⇄

HT 0–1

Yellow Card

63' ▮

⇄ 68'

73' ⇄

⇄ 74'

76' ⇄

79' ⇄

⇄ 88'

FT 0–1

Morton

Match Stats

Inverness CT

33% Ball Possession 67%

5 Total Shots 9

1 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 6

2 Shots insidebox 6

3 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 3

10 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

8 Free Kicks 10

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Inverness CT win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Morton

LLLDL

Inverness CT

DWLLD

Match summary

In the League Cup match between Morton and Inverness CT, both teams will aim to establish an early advantage in the tournament. Morton, traditionally strong at home, will rely on their defensive organization and quick transitions to exploit any gaps in Inverness's backline. On the other hand, Inverness CT will look to leverage their attacking prowess, capitalizing on set pieces and wing play to create scoring opportunities. Historical match data suggests a closely contested encounter, with both teams possessing the ability to dictate play depending on their tactical execution. The outcome will likely hinge on individual performances and the effectiveness of each team's midfield in controlling possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inverness CT goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	14	14	9	4	2
1	4	11	9	6	3	1
2	2	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Morton goals · most likely 0–2 (14.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

23%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

23%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	13.8%	14.3%	9.1%	4.3%
1	3.9%	11.0%	9.3%	5.9%	2.8%
2	1.7%	3.2%	3.0%	1.9%	0.9%
3	0.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Morton	Draw	Inverness CT
Morton	5.8%	3.0%	2.1%
Draw	4.8%	15.7%	21.6%
Inverness CT	0.6%	3.1%	43.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Morton vs Inverness CT

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Morton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dunfermline	L	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Livingston	L	1 - 4
05 Sep	A Queen's Park	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Ayr Utd	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Arbroath	L	1 - 2

Inverness CT — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Livingston	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Ayr Utd	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Raith Rovers	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Stenhousemuir	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Partick	D	1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Morton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

31 Kinnear

27 Wilson

21 Gillespie

3 Longridge

6 Moore

47 Cochrane

7 Garrity

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	B. Kinnear	G
6	K. Moore	D
3	J. Longridge	D
21	G. Gillespie	M
27	I. Wilson	M
7	M. Garrity	M
47	H. Cochrane	M

Substitutes

10	E. Brophy	F
41	S. Murdoch	G
25	Trialist B	F

Inverness CT

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

2 Macleod

4 Shinnie

18 Chalmers

3 Boutin

6 Devine

35 Stewart

17 Sole

36 Bavidge

16 Duncan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
2	C. Macleod	D
6	D. Devine	D
3	Noa Boutin	D
18	J. Chalmers	M
4	G. Shinnie	M
17	L. Sole	M
35	A. Stewart	M
16	R. Duncan	M
36	A. Bavidge	F

Substitutes

10	D. Wotherspoon	M
21	L. Ross	G
11	L. Longstaff	F
24	S. Keogh	M
7	P. Allan	M