Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Cove Rangers

Away

AI call Dumbarton or draw

49%

23%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers prediction: Sportiko gives Dumbarton a 49% chance of winning, Cove Rangers 28% and the draw 23%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 15:54.

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Timeline

5' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 45'

HT 1–0

⇄ 60'

64' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 65'

75' ⇄

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

87' ⇄

FT 2–0

Dumbarton

Match Stats

Cove Rangers

47% Ball Possession 53%

10 Total Shots 12

6 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 3

6 Shots outsidebox 9

3 Corner Kicks 7

4 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 12

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

10 Free Kicks 6

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Dumbarton or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Dumbarton

WWLLW

Cove Rangers

WLLWD

Last 1 meetings Dumbarton · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Dumbarton faces Cove Rangers in the League Cup, with both teams seeking early momentum in the tournament. Historically, Dumbarton has shown a solid defensive record at home, while Cove Rangers will look to capitalize on their attacking prowess, which has been effective in recent matches. Key players to watch include Dumbarton's leading scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Cove's midfield dynamo, known for creating scoring opportunities. The match could hinge on set pieces and defensive organization, making it crucial for both teams to maintain discipline throughout the game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cove Rangers goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	2
1	19	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Dumbarton goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

28%

Draw

23%

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

28%

Draw

23%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

22%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	19.4%	6.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.7%	4.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.9%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

36%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dumbarton	Draw	Cove Rangers
Dumbarton	48.8%	1.5%	0.2%
Draw	28.4%	14.3%	2.1%
Cove Rangers	1.4%	1.5%	1.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

89%

0.5

11%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers

0 Dumbarton Wins

0 Draws

1 Cove Rangers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Sep 2026	Cove Rangers	6 - 1	Dumbarton

Dumbarton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Kilmarnock II	W	3 - 2
19 Sep	H Spartans	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Stranraer	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	A Cove Rangers	L	6 - 1
05 Sep	H Elgin City	W	2 - 1

Cove Rangers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Fraserburgh	W	0 - 5
19 Sep	H Ross County	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Montrose	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Dumbarton	W	6 - 1
05 Sep	H Alloa Athletic	D	1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Cove Rangers

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: David Pagou

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
2	L. Bisland	D
6	L. Parker	D
7	R. Harrington	D
12	C. Maguire	M
16	J. Teasdale	M
26	J. White	F

Substitutes

3	V. Enem	D
1	R. Mutch	G

Dumbarton

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: David Pagou

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Rice	G
34	T. Robson	D
8	J. Todd	M
15	L. McIntosh	F

Substitutes

28	J. McConnell	G
7	S. Tomlinson	M
12	Trialist B	G
14	T. Wallace	M