Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Kelty Hearts

Away

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

AI call Aberdeen to win

82%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts prediction: Sportiko gives Aberdeen a 82% chance of winning, Kelty Hearts 6% and the draw 13%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 15:50.

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Timeline

Kevin Nisbet Penalty

2' ⚽ 1–0

Kjartan Mar Kjartansson assist: Kevin Nisbet

27' ⚽ 2–0

Lewis Smith ⇄ Tony Yogane

45' ⇄

HT 2–0

Toyosi Olusanya

50' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 55'

Yellow Card

Kevin Nisbet

59' ⇄

Kjartan Mar Kjartansson

59' ⇄

⇄ 63'

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

Toyosi Olusanya

74' ⇄

Bradley Lyons

74' ⇄

⇄ 87'

FT 3–0

Aberdeen

Match Stats

Kelty Hearts

82% Ball Possession 18%

16 Total Shots 2

5 Shots on Goal 0

11 Shots off Goal 2

6 Shots insidebox 0

10 Shots outsidebox 2

12 Corner Kicks 0

3 Offsides 0

11 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

13 Free Kicks 11

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Confidence High (82%)

At a glance

Our lean

Aberdeen to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Aberdeen

DWDDL

Kelty Hearts

LLLWW

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup match, Aberdeen will face Kelty Hearts. Historically, Aberdeen has a stronger squad and better league performance, typically finishing higher in the Scottish Premiership compared to Kelty Hearts, who compete in lower divisions. Aberdeen's attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per game last season, will be crucial against a Kelty defense that has struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The match will be an opportunity for Aberdeen to assert dominance and secure progression in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

82%

45%

Draw

13%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kelty Hearts goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	4	1
4	8	2
5	4	1

↑ Aberdeen goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Aberdeen

Lewis Smith 0 gls

Kelty Hearts

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	1.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.0%	6.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.8%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.1%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aberdeen	Draw	Kelty Hearts
Aberdeen	55.4%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.5%	12.4%	1.6%
Kelty Hearts	1.3%	1.5%	1.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hibernian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Motherwell	W	0 - 4
12 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Kilmarnock	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A Celtic	L	3 - 0

Kelty Hearts — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hearts U21	L	3 - 5
19 Sep	H Edinburgh City	L	1 - 3
12 Sep	A Clyde	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Cumbernauld Colts	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	H Annan Athletic	W	2 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Aberdeen

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

27 Müller

24 Guinness-Walker

23 Mayo

22 Milne

16 Lobban

29 Kjartansson

17 Armstrong

8 Lyons

20 Olusanya

15 Nisbet

11 Smith

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
27	M. Müller	G
16	D. Lobban	D
22	J. Milne	D
23	L. Mayo	D
24	N. Guinness-Walker	D
8	B. Lyons	M
17	S. Armstrong	M
29	K. Kjartansson	M
11	L. Smith	F
15	K. Nisbet	F
20	T. Olusanya	F

Substitutes

7	Tony Yogane	M
1	D. Mitov	G
25	C. Ronan	M
9	A. Mouloua	F
40	F. Marshall	M
26	D. Happe	D
2	N. Devlin	D
32	A. Aremu	M

Kelty Hearts

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: David Pagou

1 Smith

26 Cunningham

4 Corr

35 Brydon

5 Flatman

29 Shanley

23 Moore

6 Ferguson

8 McManus

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Smith	G
5	C. Flatman	D
35	J. Brydon	D
4	D. Corr	D
26	R. Cunningham	M
8	C. McManus	M
6	A. Ferguson	M
23	L. Moore	M
29	R. Shanley	F

Substitutes

25	G. Walker	D
10	I. Murray	M
9	K. Higginbotham	M
11	R. Cole	F
14	K. Leslie	F