Queen of the South vs Aberdeen Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Aberdeen

Away

Palmerston Park, Dumfries

AI call Queen of the South or draw

43%

35%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen prediction: Sportiko gives Queen of the South a 43% chance of winning, Aberdeen 22% and the draw 35%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 03:00.

Timeline

14' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 37'

Penalty

▮ 42'

Yellow Card

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

63' ▮

⇄ 67'

⚽ 1–2 70'

⚽ 1–3 72'

⇄ 73'

⚽ 1–4 82'

87' ⇄

FT 1–4

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Queen of the South or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.9%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Queen of the South

DLLDD

Aberdeen

DWDDL

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup match, Queen of the South faces Aberdeen, which will be a test of resilience for the lower-tier side against a more established opponent. Aberdeen has demonstrated stronger form in recent league campaigns, with a more robust attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Queen of the South's 1.0. Defensively, Aberdeen also boasts a better record, allowing 1.2 goals per match versus Queen's 1.5. Queen of the South will need to capitalize on set pieces and maintain defensive discipline to challenge Aberdeen's attacking prowess. This match could hinge on Queen of the South's ability to disrupt Aberdeen's rhythm and exploit any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

35%

45%

Away

22%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aberdeen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	2
1	16	13	4	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	7	5	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Queen of the South goals · most likely 1–0 (15.9%)

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Players in form

Queen of the South

No scorer data.

Aberdeen

Lewis Smith 0 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

35%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

35%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	5.6%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	15.9%	12.5%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.6%	8.7%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.1%	4.6%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	2.8%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Queen of the South	Draw	Aberdeen
Queen of the South	36.3%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	21.4%	19.6%	6.2%
Aberdeen	1.9%	3.3%	7.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Queen of the South — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Annan Athletic	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	A Hamilton Academical	L	4 - 1
15 Sep	A Ross County	L	8 - 0
12 Sep	H East Fife	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Edinburgh City	D	1 - 1

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hibernian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Motherwell	W	0 - 4
12 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Kilmarnock	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A Celtic	L	3 - 0

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Aberdeen

Coach: Stephen Robinson