Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Falkirk

Away

AI call Alloa Athletic or draw

36%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives Alloa Athletic a 36% chance of winning, Falkirk 32% and the draw 32%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean

Alloa Athletic or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Alloa Athletic

WLLDD

Falkirk

DWDLL

Match summary

In the League Cup clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk, both teams will be looking to establish early momentum in the tournament. Alloa Athletic has shown resilience in recent fixtures, boasting a solid defensive record, while Falkirk has been effective in attack, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Key players for both sides will be crucial; Alloa's defense will need to contain Falkirk's dynamic forward line to secure a positive result. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams eager to advance in the cup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

36%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Falkirk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Alloa Athletic goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

32%

Away Win

32%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

32%

Away Win

32%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 32% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.3%	9.7%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
1	10.6%	15.1%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.2%	7.8%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.8%	3.1%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
Alloa Athletic	21.3%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	14.3%	21.4%	12.8%
Falkirk	1.7%	4.3%	18.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Alloa Athletic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hibernian U21	W	4 - 1
19 Sep	H East Kilbride	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Airdrie United	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Clydebank	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Cove Rangers	D	1 - 1

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Dundee Utd	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Rangers	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Celtic	L	2 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.