Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

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Cove Rangers

Away

AI call Difficult Dunfermline win or draw

62%

26%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers prediction: Sportiko gives Dunfermline a 62% chance of winning, Cove Rangers 12% and the draw 26%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Dunfermline win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Dunfermline

WWDWL

Cove Rangers

WLLWD

Match summary

Dunfermline faces Cove Rangers in a League Cup clash on July 21, 2026. Dunfermline enters the match with a strong home record, having secured 60% of their home matches last season. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, have struggled in away fixtures, winning only 30% of their matches on the road. Key players to watch include Dunfermline’s top scorer, who netted 15 goals last season, and Cove's playmaker, known for creating crucial chances. The outcome will likely hinge on Dunfermline's ability to convert home advantage into early momentum against a Cove Rangers side looking to improve their away form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

62%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cove Rangers goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2
1	15	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Dunfermline goals · most likely 1–0 (15.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	4.7%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	15.0%	11.9%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.1%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.1%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.5%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dunfermline	Draw	Cove Rangers
Dunfermline	39.5%	3.1%	0.6%
Draw	21.7%	17.7%	5.4%
Cove Rangers	2.0%	3.2%	6.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Morton	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Queen's Park	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Arbroath	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Raith Rovers	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Livingston	L	2 - 0

Cove Rangers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Fraserburgh	W	0 - 5
19 Sep	H Ross County	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Montrose	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Dumbarton	W	6 - 1
05 Sep	H Alloa Athletic	D	1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.