Partick vs Stenhousemuir Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Stenhousemuir

Away

AI call Partick to win

78%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Partick vs Stenhousemuir prediction: Sportiko gives Partick a 78% chance of winning, Stenhousemuir 4% and the draw 18%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Penalty

⚽ 0–2 23'

33' ⚽ 1–2

▮ 45+1'

Yellow Card

HT 1–2

⇄ 46'

▮ 55'

Yellow Card

⇄ 57'

60' ⇄

⇄ 63'

⇄ 72'

81' ⚽ 2–2

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

⚽ 2–3 120+1'

Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 3–3

⚽ 3–4 120+2'

Penalty

Missed Penalty

120+2' ✗

⚽ 3–5 120+3'

Penalty

120+3' ⚽ 4–5

⚽ 4–6 120+4'

Penalty

120+4' ⚽ 5–6

⚽ 5–7 120+5'

Penalty

FT 2–2

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Confidence High (78%)

At a glance

Our lean

Partick to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Partick

DLWDD

Stenhousemuir

WWLWW

Last 1 meetings Partick · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup match, Partick faces Stenhousemuir. Partick has shown a strong offensive performance in previous encounters, averaging 1.8 goals per match in their last five games. Conversely, Stenhousemuir's defense has conceded an average of 2 goals per match during the same span, indicating potential vulnerabilities. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Partick has been effective in this area, scoring 30% of their goals from corners. This match could hinge on Partick's ability to exploit Stenhousemuir's defensive weaknesses early on.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

78%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stenhousemuir goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	19	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Partick goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	19.1%	6.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.0%	4.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.2%	2.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Partick	Draw	Stenhousemuir
Partick	53.4%	1.5%	0.1%
Draw	24.6%	13.7%	1.8%
Stenhousemuir	1.3%	1.6%	2.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Partick vs Stenhousemuir

0 Partick Wins

0 Draws

1 Stenhousemuir Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Sep 2026	Stenhousemuir	1 - 0	Partick

Partick — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Raith Rovers	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Ayr Utd	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Queen's Park	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Inverness CT	D	1 - 1

Stenhousemuir — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arbroath	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Partick	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	0 - 3
04 Sep	A Livingston	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Inverness CT	W	3 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.