ST Mirren vs East Kilbride Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

East Kilbride

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

AI call ST Mirren to win or draw

67%

22%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

ST Mirren vs East Kilbride prediction: Sportiko gives ST Mirren a 67% chance of winning, East Kilbride 10% and the draw 22%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

▮ 25'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 32'

Penalty

⚽ 0–2 39'

HT 0–2

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

56' ▮

⚽ 0–3 57'

Penalty

60' ⚽ 1–3

60' ⇄

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

61' ⇄

69' ⚽ 2–3

Yellow Card

72' ▮

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

⇄ 74'

77' ⚽ 3–3

Yellow Card

84' ▮

Yellow Card

88' ▮

90+3' ⚽ 4–3

FT 4–3

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean

ST Mirren to win or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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ST Mirren

LLDWL

East Kilbride

WWLDW

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup clash, St Mirren will face East Kilbride. St Mirren, a consistent performer in the Scottish Premiership, will leverage their stronger squad depth and experience against East Kilbride, who compete in the lower divisions. Historically, St Mirren has a solid record in cup competitions, which could play a crucial role in their performance. East Kilbride will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from St Mirren to create scoring opportunities. Overall, St Mirren's higher league status suggests they will be favorites for this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs East Kilbride

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Rangers	L	0 - 2
31 Oct	A Motherwell	L	1 - 0
28 Oct	H Hibernian	D	1 - 1
24 Oct	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
17 Oct	A Aberdeen	L	3 - 1

East Kilbride — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Queen of the South	W	1 - 2
03 Nov	H Stirling Albion	W	7 - 3
31 Oct	H Ross County	L	1 - 2
17 Oct	H Montrose	D	1 - 1
13 Oct	H Kelty Hearts	W	2 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.