ST Mirren vs East Kilbride Prediction

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

East Kilbride

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

AI call ST Mirren to win or draw

67%

22%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

ST Mirren vs East Kilbride prediction: Sportiko gives ST Mirren a 67% chance of winning, East Kilbride 10% and the draw 22%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

▮ 25'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 32'

Penalty

⚽ 0–2 39'

HT 0–2

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

56' ▮

⚽ 0–3 57'

Penalty

60' ⚽ 1–3

60' ⇄

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

61' ⇄

69' ⚽ 2–3

Yellow Card

72' ▮

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

⇄ 74'

77' ⚽ 3–3

Yellow Card

84' ▮

Yellow Card

88' ▮

90+3' ⚽ 4–3

FT 4–3

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean

ST Mirren to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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ST Mirren

LLLWD

East Kilbride

DWWWL

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup clash, St Mirren will face East Kilbride. St Mirren, a consistent performer in the Scottish Premiership, will leverage their stronger squad depth and experience against East Kilbride, who compete in the lower divisions. Historically, St Mirren has a solid record in cup competitions, which could play a crucial role in their performance. East Kilbride will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from St Mirren to create scoring opportunities. Overall, St Mirren's higher league status suggests they will be favorites for this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

East Kilbride goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	2
1	12	11	3	1
2	14	10	3	1
3	9	7	2	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ ST Mirren goals · most likely 2–0 (13.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	3.3%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	12.3%	10.5%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.8%	9.5%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	9.5%	6.5%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.8%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Mirren	Draw	East Kilbride
ST Mirren	45.0%	3.0%	0.7%
Draw	21.7%	14.2%	4.5%
East Kilbride	2.4%	3.0%	5.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs East Kilbride

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

East Kilbride — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Celtic II	D	3 - 3
19 Sep	A Alloa Athletic	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Peterhead	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Hamilton Academical	L	0 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.