Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Ludogorets

Away

AI call Ludogorets to win

17%

75%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets prediction: Sportiko gives Dunav Ruse a 8% chance of winning, Ludogorets 75% and the draw 17%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 17:52.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Bernard Tekpetey

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 47'

Rwan Cruz

59' ⇄

⇄ 71'

⇄ Son

⇄ 71'

Bernard Tekpetey

⇄ 71'

Rwan Cruz ⇄ Kwadwo Duah

⇄ 71'

Petar Stanić

78' ⇄

▮ 82'

Yellow Card

FT 0–2

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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ludogorets to win

Most likely score

0:2 · 20%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Dunav Ruse

LLDDW

Ludogorets

WDWLW

Match summary

Dunav Ruse faces a challenging encounter against Ludogorets in the First League. Historically, Ludogorets has dominated this fixture, showcasing a strong attacking lineup that averages over two goals per match in recent seasons. Dunav Ruse, while resilient defensively, has struggled to maintain possession against high-pressing teams. Expect Ludogorets to control the midfield and create numerous scoring opportunities, while Dunav will need to capitalize on any counter-attacks to secure a positive result. Overall, Ludogorets enters this match as the favorite based on their recent form and squad depth.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

75%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ludogorets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	16	20	16	10	5
1	1	6	6	5	3	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Dunav Ruse goals · most likely 0–2 (20.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

97% Away (No Draw) 3% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

61% Away Win by 2+ 0% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Away Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	15.9%	20.0%	16.2%	9.8%
1	1.4%	5.6%	6.0%	4.9%	2.9%
2	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dunav Ruse	Draw	Ludogorets
Dunav Ruse	1.4%	1.3%	1.2%
Draw	1.3%	10.1%	21.9%
Ludogorets	0.1%	1.3%	61.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

Away Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Dunav Ruse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A CSKA Sofia	L	2 - 1
27 Jul	H Ludogorets	L	0 - 2
01 Jul	H Dobrudzha	D	1 - 1
21 Mar	H Pirin Blagoevgrad	D	0 - 0
14 Mar	A Belasitsa	W	1 - 2

Ludogorets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Botev Vratsa	W	2 - 1
30 Jul	H Hapoel Tel Aviv	D	2 - 2
27 Jul	A Dunav Ruse	W	0 - 2
23 Jul	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	L	2 - 0
18 Jul	H Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	1 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Spartak Varna	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
4	CSKA 1948	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
6	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2
11	Botev Vratsa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
14	Dunav Ruse	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0

Ludogorets

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thomas Reis

39 Bonmann

3 Nedyalkov

42 Shishkov

55 Nachmias

2 Andersson

26 Kaloč

18 Chochev

37 Tekpetey

14 Stanić

7 Salido

12 Cruz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	Hendrik Bonmann	G
2	Joel Andersson	D
55	Idan Nachmias	D
42	Simeon Shishkov	D
3	Anton Nedyalkov	D
18	Ivajlo Chochev	M
26	Filip Kaloč	M
7	Alberto Salido	F
14	Petar Stanić	M
37	Bernard Tekpetey	M
12	Rwan Cruz	F

Substitutes

20	Aguibou Camara	M
9	Kwadwo Duah	F
1	Sergio Padt	G
27	Vinicius Nogueira	D
24	Olivier Verdon	D
22	Mihail Polendakov	D
99	Stanislav Ivanov	M
40	Aleksandar Marinov	M
29	Yves Erick Bile	F

Dunav Ruse

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Emanuel Lukanov

33 Kitanov

88 Todorov

4 Cabarcas

5 Antoniou

39 Alves

14 Apostolov

24 Gavrilov

11 Minchev

10 Boychev

2 Dilchovski

9 Valino

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Georgi Kitanov	G
39	Andre Alves	D
5	Kyriakos Antoniou	M
4	Jose Cabarcas	D
88	Dimitar Todorov	D
24	Stefan Gavrilov	M
14	Radoslav Apostolov	M
2	Mario Ivanov Dilchovski	D
10	Kristiyan Boychev	M
11	Denislav Minchev	F
9	Alexander Valino	F

Substitutes

	Vladan Vidaković	M
69	Plamen Pepelyashev	G
50	Ilker Budinov	D
22	Stojan Predev	D
6	Stanislav Yovkov	D
19	Stefan Stefanov	M
45	Aleksandar Donev	F
18	Ibrahim Keita	F
77	Aleksandar Simeonov	F