KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 16

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Thor Akureyri

Away

AI call KA Akureyri or draw

49%

25%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri prediction: Sportiko gives KA Akureyri a 49% chance of winning, Thor Akureyri 26% and the draw 25%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 21:10.

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Away to Score 73%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Timeline

▮ 13'

Yellow Card

22' ▮

▮ 26'

Yellow Card

⇄ 41'

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

▮ 49'

Yellow Card

63' ⇄

Yellow Card

67' ▮

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

⇄ Thorri Ingólfsson

⇄ 74'

▮ 81'

Yellow Card

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

88' ⇄

FT 0–0

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

KA Akureyri or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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KA Akureyri

WLWDL

Thor Akureyri

LLWWL

Last 1 meetings KA Akureyri · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Úrvalsdeild clash, KA Akureyri faces Thor Akureyri in what promises to be a competitive match. While KA has shown resilience in their recent performances, boasting a solid home record, Thor will look to capitalize on their counter-attacking capabilities. Both teams have demonstrated a propensity for scoring, with KA averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Thor's defense has been susceptible, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. The tactical battle will likely hinge on KA's ability to maintain possession and create opportunities against a Thor side that thrives on quick transitions. Expect a closely contested match where both teams will aim to assert their dominance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Thor Akureyri goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ KA Akureyri goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

26%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

26%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	5.9%	4.9%	2.2%	0.7%
1	7.2%	13.1%	7.7%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.1%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.6%	4.8%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	KA Akureyri	Draw	Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri	24.0%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	15.8%	16.7%	12.1%
Thor Akureyri	2.7%	4.6%	17.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri

1 KA Akureyri Wins

0 Draws

0 Thor Akureyri Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	KA Akureyri	3 - 0	Thor Akureyri

KA Akureyri — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Thor Akureyri	W	3 - 0
13 Sep	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	3 - 0
06 Sep	H Breidablik	W	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Fram Reykjavik	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	H KR Reykjavik	L	3 - 5

Thor Akureyri — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A KA Akureyri	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	A Valur Reykjavik	L	4 - 1
06 Sep	H FH hafnarfjordur	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	A Stjarnan	L	4 - 2

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18