IA Akranes vs Stjarnan Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Stjarnan

Away

AI call IA Akranes or draw

38%

27%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

IA Akranes vs Stjarnan prediction: Sportiko gives IA Akranes a 38% chance of winning, Stjarnan 35% and the draw 27%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 21:14.

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1st Half Home or Draw 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

4' ⚽ 1–0

9' ⚽ 2–0

26' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Guðmundur Kristjánsson

⇄ 60'

Birnir Snaer Ingason

Yellow Card

62' ▮

⚽ 3–1 66'

71' ⚽ 4–1

Guðmundur Þórarinsson

76' ⇄

82' ⇄

✗ 85'

Missed Penalty

86' ⚽ 5–1

89' ⇄

FT 5–1

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

IA Akranes or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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IA Akranes

WLWDD

Stjarnan

LWDWW

Match summary

IA Akranes faces Stjarnan in a pivotal Úrvalsdeild clash. Akranes has shown a solid home record, with key players contributing to their goal tally, while Stjarnan's away form has been inconsistent. Both teams have a strong attacking lineup, but Akranes' defensive stability may prove crucial. The match could hinge on set pieces and capitalizing on defensive errors. Expect a closely contested game as both teams aim to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stjarnan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ IA Akranes goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

35%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

35%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	9.8%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%
1	9.8%	15.0%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%
2	6.7%	7.6%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.6%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	IA Akranes	Draw	Stjarnan
IA Akranes	19.3%	4.3%	1.7%
Draw	14.2%	21.1%	14.2%
Stjarnan	1.7%	4.3%	19.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: IA Akranes vs Stjarnan

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

IA Akranes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Breidablik	W	4 - 1
13 Sep	A KR Reykjavik	L	5 - 1
06 Sep	H KR Reykjavik	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A Valur Reykjavik	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	H FH hafnarfjordur	D	1 - 1

Stjarnan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	5 - 2
13 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Breidablik	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 2

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.