Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Slavia Sofia

Away

Arena Arda, Kardzhali

AI call Difficult Arda Kardzhali win or draw

56%

27%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Arda Kardzhali a 56% chance of winning, Slavia Sofia 18% and the draw 27%. Last updated 24 Jul 2026, 20:10.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

28' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

67' ⇄

⇄ 73'

78' ⇄

⇄ 81'

⇄ 90+2'

90+3' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

90+6' ⇄

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Arda Kardzhali win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Arda Kardzhali

LWDLW

Slavia Sofia

DLDLD

Match summary

In the upcoming First League match, Arda Kardzhali will face Slavia Sofia. Arda has shown a strong home record, particularly in defensive solidity, allowing only 1 goal per match on average in their last five home fixtures. Conversely, Slavia Sofia has struggled with consistency, particularly in away games, where they have averaged 1.5 goals conceded in recent outings. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Arda's ability to maintain their defensive shape against Slavia's attacking transitions. Expect a closely contested match, with set-pieces potentially being a key factor.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

18%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Slavia Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Arda Kardzhali goals · most likely 1–0 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	5.9%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
1	13.6%	13.2%	4.5%	1.2%	0.2%
2	12.0%	9.2%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
3	6.3%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arda Kardzhali	Draw	Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali	34.3%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	19.9%	19.0%	7.2%
Slavia Sofia	2.1%	3.7%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Arda Kardzhali — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A CSKA 1948	L	2 - 1
24 Jul	H Slavia Sofia	W	1 - 0
18 Jul	A Septemvri Sofia	D	1 - 1
10 Jul	A Botev Vratsa	L	1 - 0
21 Mar	A Septemvri Sofia	W	1 - 4

Slavia Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	A Arda Kardzhali	L	1 - 0
20 Jul	H CSKA Sofia	D	0 - 0
20 Mar	H Botev Plovdiv	L	0 - 1
13 Mar	A Lokomotiv Sofia	D	1 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Spartak Varna	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
4	CSKA 1948	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
6	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2
11	Botev Vratsa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
14	Dunav Ruse	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0

Slavia Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ratko Dostanic

99 Andonov

26 Burov

5 Malembana

4 Savić

87 Ferraresso

11 Dosso

73 Minchev

17 Kazaldzhiev

7 Raychev

27 Baldé

88 Nikolov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Ivan Andonov	G
87	Diego Ferraresso	D
4	Nikola Savić	D
5	David Malembana	D
26	Dimitar Burov	M
73	Ivan Minchev	M
11	Mouhamed Dosso	M
27	Umaro Baldé	F
7	Roberto Raychev	M
17	Vasil Kazaldzhiev	F
88	Vladimir Nikolov	F

Substitutes

13	Iliyan Stefanov	M
63	Levi Ntumba	G
1	Georgi Petkov	G
20	Jordan Semedo Varela	D
16	Maksimilian Lazarov	D
3	Martin Georgiev	D
77	Emil Stoev	M
6	Boris Todorov	M
23	Ilian Antonov	F
9	Yoan Bornosuzov	F
10	Yanis Guermouche	F

Arda Kardzhali

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander

1 Gospodinov

35 Velkovski

5 Lyubenov

44 Traoré

21 Velev

4 Akintola

80 Kotev

99 Karagaren

39 Vutov

10 Kovachev

16 Bachev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anatoli Gospodinov	G
21	Vyacheslav Velev	D
44	Adama Ardile Traoré	D
5	Viktor Lyubenov	D
35	Dimitar Velkovski	D
80	Lachezar Kotev	M
4	Idowu David Akintola	M
10	Svetoslav Kovachev	M
39	Antonio Vutov	M
99	Birsent Karagaren	M
16	Preslav Bachev	F

Substitutes

22	Yanko Georgiev	G
18	Simeon Vasilev	D
24	Martin Paskalev	D
6	Viktor Popov	D
26	Burak Akandzha	M
11	Atanas Kabov	M
64	Dominik Yankov	M